Arizona @ Minnesota Picks & Props
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ARI vs MIN Consensus Picks
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Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

In Major League Baseball, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa today. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Carlos Correa's launch angle in recent games (-2.4° in the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 11° seasonal angle.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

In Major League Baseball, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 87.2-mph in the last 14 days.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Carroll today. Corbin Carroll has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive talent to be a .356, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 gap between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.
Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 92.7-mph mark.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jake McCarthy has notched a .270 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's game. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 40.5% to 52%. By putting up a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is ranked in the 92nd percentile. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Ryan Jeffers has put up a .283 batting average this year.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Donovan Solano will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Donovan Solano has posted a .342 BABIP this year.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Max Kepler is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willi Castro has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days. This season, Willi Castro has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 85.7 mph mark. Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is a good deal lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.6% up to 40%.
Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Joey Gallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Joey Gallo will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 28.5°, Joey Gallo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.7° angle over the past 14 days. Joey Gallo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (37.3°) is considerably higher than his 32.4° angle last year.
Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Vazquez has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 3.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last two weeks. Christian Vazquez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 91-mph. In the last 14 days, Christian Vazquez's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.
Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Arizona

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
ARI vs MIN Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+11.90 Units / 21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 away games (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 52 away games (-20.16 Units / -33% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-19.50 Units / -22% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 48 games (-15.40 Units / -26% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 29 games (-13.51 Units / -40% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 111 games (-13.31 Units / -10% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games (+5.15 Units / 6% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+5.20 Units / 12% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.25 Units / 24% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 112 games (-22.45 Units / -17% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 98 games (-17.95 Units / -15% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 108 games (-15.95 Units / -10% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 48 games (-11.50 Units / -22% ROI)
ARI vs MIN Top User Picks
More PicksArizona Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders |
Minnesota Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
All Twins Money Leaders |