LIVE Bottom 7th May 1
STL 1 -114 o9.0
CIN 5 +105 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 9th May 1
AZ 4 +142 o8.5
NYM 2 -154 u8.5
LIVE Top 8th May 1
MIN 2 -121 o9.0
CLE 2 +112 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 7th May 1
MIL 0 -153 o9.0
CHW 5 +141 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 6th May 1
ATH 1 +113 o8.5
TEX 0 -122 u8.5
WAS +152 o9.5
PHI -166 u9.5
BOS -110 o8.5
TOR +102 u8.5
DET -123 o8.5
LAA +114 u8.5
COL +236 o7.0
SF -264 u7.0
Final May 1
CHC 8 +114 o8.0
PIT 3 -124 u8.0
Final May 1
KC 8 +146 o8.5
TB 2 -159 u8.5

New York @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will be challenged by MLB's deepest RF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 89.6 mph. Maikel Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 11.4% on the season to 6.7% over the last 7 days.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will be challenged by MLB's deepest RF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 89.6 mph. Maikel Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 11.4% on the season to 6.7% over the last 7 days.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez's BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup. Salvador Perez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Salvador Perez's BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup. Salvador Perez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Drew Waters is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage today.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Drew Waters is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. In today's matchup, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16.7% to 9.8%.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. In today's matchup, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16.7% to 9.8%.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side (0) today against Brady Singer Today, Francisco Lindor is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (91st percentile). Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Francisco Lindor's 12.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side (0) today against Brady Singer Today, Francisco Lindor is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (91st percentile). Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Francisco Lindor's 12.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Samad Taylor Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Taylor
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.94 ft/sec this year, Samad Taylor is notably fast.

Samad Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.94 ft/sec this year, Samad Taylor is notably fast.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup. Batters such as Omar Narvaez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup. Batters such as Omar Narvaez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Matt Beaty Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Beaty
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Beaty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Matt Beaty will hold that advantage today.

Matt Beaty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Beaty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Matt Beaty will hold that advantage today.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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