LIVE Top 2nd Jul 12
TEX 1 -100 o6.5
HOU 1 -108 u6.5
LIVE Top 2nd Jul 12
PHI 2 -162 o7.0
SD 0 +149 u7.0
AZ +111 o9.0
LAA -121 u9.0
TOR -132 o10.0
ATH +122 u10.0
Final Jul 12
CHC 5 +132 o8.0
NYY 2 -144 u8.0
Final Jul 12
SEA 15 -112 o8.0
DET 7 +103 u8.0
Final Jul 12
PIT 4 +124 o9.5
MIN 12 -135 u9.5
Final Jul 12
ATL 7 -111 o9.0
STL 6 +103 u9.0
Final Jul 12
MIA 6 +143 o9.0
BAL 0 -156 u9.0
Final Jul 12
LAD 2 -148 o8.5
SF 1 +137 u8.5
Final Jul 12
COL 3 +242 o10.0
CIN 4 -272 u10.0
Final Jul 12
TB 0 +148 o8.0
BOS 1 -161 u8.0
Final Jul 12
NYM 3 -118 o9.0
KC 1 +109 u9.0
Final Jul 12
CLE 6 -125 o8.5
CHW 2 +116 u8.5
Final Jul 12
WAS 5 +237 o9.0
MIL 6 -265 u9.0

New York @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will be challenged by MLB's deepest RF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 89.6 mph. Maikel Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 11.4% on the season to 6.7% over the last 7 days.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will be challenged by MLB's deepest RF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 89.6 mph. Maikel Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 11.4% on the season to 6.7% over the last 7 days.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Salvador Perez's BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup. Salvador Perez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Salvador Perez's BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup. Salvador Perez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP ability, Drew Waters is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage today.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Drew Waters is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. In today's matchup, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16.7% to 9.8%.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. In today's matchup, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16.7% to 9.8%.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side (0) today against Brady Singer Today, Francisco Lindor is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (91st percentile). Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Francisco Lindor's 12.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side (0) today against Brady Singer Today, Francisco Lindor is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (91st percentile). Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Francisco Lindor's 12.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Matt Duffy
M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Samad Taylor Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Samad Taylor
S. Taylor
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.94 ft/sec this year, Samad Taylor is notably fast.

Samad Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.94 ft/sec this year, Samad Taylor is notably fast.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Omar Narvaez
O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup. Batters such as Omar Narvaez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup. Batters such as Omar Narvaez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

MJ Melendez
M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Matt Beaty Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Matt Beaty
M. Beaty
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Beaty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Matt Beaty will hold that advantage today.

Matt Beaty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Beaty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Matt Beaty will hold that advantage today.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Michael Massey
M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Dairon Blanco
D. Blanco
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.46
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Dairon Blanco has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Francisco Alvarez has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

DJ Stewart
D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Pete Alonso has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast