LIVE Top 5th May 1
CHC 3 +114 o8.0
PIT 2 -124 u8.0
LIVE Top 4th May 1
STL 1 -114 o9.0
CIN 2 +105 u9.0
LIVE Top 3rd May 1
AZ 0 +142 o8.5
NYM 0 -154 u8.5
LIVE Top 3rd May 1
KC 0 +146 o8.5
TB 1 -159 u8.5
LIVE Bottom 2nd May 1
MIN 0 -121 o9.0
CLE 1 +112 u9.0
MIL -155 o9.0
CHW +143 u9.0
ATH +115 o8.5
TEX -124 u8.5
WAS +150 o10.0
PHI -164 u10.0
BOS -107 o8.5
TOR -101 u8.5
DET -122 o8.5
LAA +113 u8.5
COL +222 o7.0
SF -247 u7.0

Arizona @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. This game is predicted to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.7-mph over the last two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. This game is predicted to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.7-mph over the last two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Nick Ahmed has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .264 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Nick Ahmed has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .264 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph to 90.6-mph over the past week.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph to 90.6-mph over the past week.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Sabol
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Blake Sabol's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Blake Sabol's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Crawford
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, putting up a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .045 disparity.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, putting up a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .045 disparity.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Matos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Matos has been unlucky this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Matos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Matos has been unlucky this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Kelly
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-189
Under
+127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.81
Best Odds
Over
-189
Under
+127

LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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