LIVE Top 2nd Jul 12
TEX 1 -100 o6.5
HOU 1 -108 u6.5
LIVE Bottom 2nd Jul 12
PHI 2 -162 o7.0
SD 0 +149 u7.0
AZ +111 o9.0
LAA -120 u9.0
TOR -132 o10.0
ATH +122 u10.0
Final Jul 12
CHC 5 +132 o8.0
NYY 2 -144 u8.0
Final Jul 12
SEA 15 -112 o8.0
DET 7 +103 u8.0
Final Jul 12
PIT 4 +124 o9.5
MIN 12 -135 u9.5
Final Jul 12
ATL 7 -111 o9.0
STL 6 +103 u9.0
Final Jul 12
MIA 6 +143 o9.0
BAL 0 -156 u9.0
Final Jul 12
LAD 2 -148 o8.5
SF 1 +137 u8.5
Final Jul 12
COL 3 +242 o10.0
CIN 4 -272 u10.0
Final Jul 12
TB 0 +148 o8.0
BOS 1 -161 u8.0
Final Jul 12
NYM 3 -118 o9.0
KC 1 +109 u9.0
Final Jul 12
CLE 6 -125 o8.5
CHW 2 +116 u8.5
Final Jul 12
WAS 5 +237 o9.0
MIL 6 -265 u9.0

Arizona @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. This game is predicted to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.7-mph over the last two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. This game is predicted to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.7-mph over the last two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

Nick Ahmed
N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Nick Ahmed has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .264 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Nick Ahmed has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .264 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Joc Pederson
J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph to 90.6-mph over the past week.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph to 90.6-mph over the past week.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Michael Conforto
M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Blake Sabol
B. Sabol
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Blake Sabol's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Blake Sabol's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

Christian Walker
C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Brandon Crawford
B. Crawford
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Casey Schmitt
C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, putting up a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .045 disparity.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, putting up a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .045 disparity.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Luis Matos
L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Matos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Matos has been unlucky this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Matos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Matos has been unlucky this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Arizona

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J.D. Davis
J. Davis
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.83
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Emmanuel Rivera
E. Rivera
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.72
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Wilmer Flores
W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Wilmer Flores has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast