World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
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Total PicksARI 199, SF 163
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Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. This game is predicted to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.7-mph over the last two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Nick Ahmed has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .264 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.
Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph to 90.6-mph over the past week.
Blake Sabol's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, putting up a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .045 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Matos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Matos has been unlucky this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.
Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.
Wilmer Flores has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chefsloan7 | 7-3-0 | +18210 |
| 2 | charro23 | 5-4-1 | +17850 |
| 3 | jazzmatazz | 6-4-0 | +17510 |
| 4 | alayne89 | 6-4-0 | +17150 |
| 5 | doomsday07 | 7-3-0 | +16820 |
| 6 | Huskerdave | 6-4-0 | +15895 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 8-2-0 | +15680 |
| 8 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +15400 |
| 9 | CNOTES | 7-3-0 | +14830 |
| 10 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +14695 |
| All Giants Money Leaders | |||