LIVE Bottom 6th May 1
WAS 4 +155 o10.0
PHI 2 -169 u10.0
LIVE Bottom 5th May 1
BOS 2 -110 o8.5
TOR 0 +102 u8.5
DET -138 o8.5
LAA +127 u8.5
COL +225 o7.5
SF -251 u7.5
Final May 1
CHC 8 +114 o8.0
PIT 3 -124 u8.0
Final May 1
STL 1 -114 o9.0
CIN 9 +105 u9.0
Final May 1
AZ 4 +142 o8.5
NYM 2 -154 u8.5
Final May 1
KC 8 +146 o8.5
TB 2 -159 u8.5
Final (10) May 1
MIN 3 -121 o9.0
CLE 4 +112 u9.0
Final May 1
MIL 0 -153 o9.0
CHW 8 +141 u9.0
Final May 1
ATH 3 +113 o8.5
TEX 0 -122 u8.5
MASN, Bally Sports Network

Milwaukee @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

William Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the past two weeks, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 96.5 mph to 94.2 mph.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the past two weeks, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 96.5 mph to 94.2 mph.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's game. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's game. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 40.4%.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 40.4%.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Wade Miley. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Wade Miley. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Michael Chavis will hold the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game. Michael Chavis will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Michael Chavis will hold the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game. Michael Chavis will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Wiemer
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's game. Alex Call's launch angle lately (24.1° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 15.9° seasonal angle. Alex Call has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .280 rate is deflated compared to his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's game. Alex Call's launch angle lately (24.1° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 15.9° seasonal angle. Alex Call has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .280 rate is deflated compared to his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Joey Meneses will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game. Joey Meneses has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Joey Meneses will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game. Joey Meneses has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Tyrone Taylor will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Tyrone Taylor will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 45.6% on the season to 56.3% in the last 14 days.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 45.6% on the season to 56.3% in the last 14 days.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's game. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's game. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Andruw Monasterio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Andruw Monasterio has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andruw Monasterio has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph average. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 49.4% on the season to 55.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Andruw Monasterio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Andruw Monasterio has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andruw Monasterio has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph average. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 49.4% on the season to 55.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Stone Garrett has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Wade Miley in today's matchup. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Stone Garrett has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°. Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Wade Miley in today's matchup. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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