Detroit @ Miami Picks & Props

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Tarik Skubal will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive skill to be a .345, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .046 deviation between that figure and his actual .391 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal today. Out of every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Miguel Cabrera will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #7 stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Riley Greene has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph mark. Riley Greene's launch angle this year (6.1°) is significantly higher than his 3° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Garrett Hampson will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Garrett Hampson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Jorge Soler will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Spencer Torkelson will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Over the last week, Spencer Torkelson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 23.1%.

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Bryan De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

Javier Baez's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Javier Baez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Javier Baez will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Matt Vierling will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, notching a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .067 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jean Segura in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Jean Segura will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. In the last 7 days, Jake Rogers's 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #7 stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his BABIP ability, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Cooper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Yuli Gurriel will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Zack Short will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Zack Short hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zack Short has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.5-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.9°, Zack Short has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.9° mark over the past two weeks.

Andy Ibanez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Andy Ibanez will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Andy Ibanez hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Andy Ibanez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .293 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Avisail Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.