World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksSD 56, DET 51
Total PicksSD 43, DET 57
Total PicksSD 35, DET 30
When starting against a southpaw this year, Andy Ibanez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 52% of the time. In today's matchup, Andy Ibanez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 41.2% rate (100th percentile). Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Over the last week, Andy Ibanez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%. Andy Ibanez's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 78.1-mph over the last week.
The 2nd-deepest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Comerica Park. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Matt Vierling has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 14 days. Matt Vierling's launch angle this year (8.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 12° figure last year. Matt Vierling's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 16.3% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks.
Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game. The 2nd-deepest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Comerica Park. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's game. Jake Cronenworth's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.9-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this year (15.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 18.4° angle last season.
Matt Manning will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado in today's matchup. In today's matchup, Manny Machado is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.4% rate (79th percentile). Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Manny Machado has notched a .265 BABIP this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
The 2nd-deepest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Comerica Park. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Javier Baez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (6.9°) is significantly worse than his 11.4° mark last season. Checking in at the 5th percentile, Javier Baez has notched a .261 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Sporting a 5.5 K/BB rate this year, Javier Baez has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 4th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball batters like Riley Greene tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jackson Wolf.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Matt Manning today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage today. Zach McKinstry has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.7-mph average. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.7% to 22%.
The #4 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Miguel Cabrera will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Wolf today. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Cabrera are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jackson Wolf. Miguel Cabrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #4 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Spencer Torkelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Wolf in today's game.
Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Manning today.
The #4 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
The #4 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today. Gary Sanchez's launch angle recently (28.2° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal mark. In terms of his batting average, Gary Sanchez has been unlucky this year. His .191 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .224.
The #4 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jake Rogers will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Wolf today. Jake Rogers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jake Rogers has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 15.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alfonso Rivas in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Alfonso Rivas will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Manning in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Matt Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Matt Manning in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.6°, Matt Carpenter has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 54° angle over the past week.
The #4 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Zack Short will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Wolf today. Zack Short will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Zack Short has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .262 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Akil Baddoo has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Nick Maton has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabster611 | 9-1-0 | +23405 |
| 2 | Infinite-H | 8-2-0 | +22730 |
| 3 | Bigboys9 | 6-4-0 | +20690 |
| 4 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +14925 |
| 5 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +13770 |
| 6 | Ollywood | 8-2-0 | +13087 |
| 7 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +13040 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 2-8-0 | +12910 |
| 9 | Moneyman00 | 6-4-0 | +12810 |
| 10 | dawoodman | 9-1-0 | +12745 |
| All Padres Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
| 2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
| 3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
| 4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
| 5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
| 6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
| 7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
| 9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
| 10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||