World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksDET 336, SEA 206
Total PicksDET 123, SEA 265
Total PicksDET 85, SEA 220
Total PicksDET 49, SEA 74
Total PicksDET 22, SEA 12
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game. Riley Greene has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph EV.
Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today. Akil Baddoo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Akil Baddoo has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.1-mph average to last season's 85-mph EV. By putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate this year, Akil Baddoo has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 89th percentile.
When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 7th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.8°, Andy Ibanez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19° mark over the past 14 days. Andy Ibanez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .298 figure is a good deal lower than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Andy Ibanez is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (22.1% rate this year).
When estimating his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Among all the teams in action today, the 7th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 11.3% on the season to 19.2% in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Javier Baez's true offensive skill to be a .306, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .047 deviation between that mark and his actual .259 wOBA.
Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game. Zach McKinstry's launch angle of late (28.6° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 18.8° seasonal figure. Zach McKinstry has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Spencer Torkelson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games. Spencer Torkelson has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 100.8-mph over the past week.
Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 7th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Caballero's 23.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 95th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 7th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Dylan Moore will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 7th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.373) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Moore has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .317 actual wOBA.
Tom Murphy will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Tom Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 7th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tom Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tom Murphy has posted a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Eric Haase has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
AJ Pollock has not yet played a game this season.
Matt Vierling has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Jake Marisnick has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
| 2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
| 3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
| 4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
| 5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
| 6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
| 7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
| 9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
| 10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +19444 |
| 2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +19315 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
| 4 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +15505 |
| 5 | KingScorpio | 3-7-0 | +15095 |
| 6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
| 7 | jr5601 | 4-5-1 | +12525 |
| 8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +12520 |
| 9 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
| 10 | fragma8023 | 6-4-0 | +11743 |
| All Mariners Money Leaders | |||