Kansas City @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Will Brennan is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and but may find it hard to clear baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Brennan's launch angle recently (4.7° in the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 8.4° seasonal mark. Will Brennan's 3.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 9th percentile this year. Sporting a 3.78 K/BB rate this year, Will Brennan has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Jordan Lyles will hold the platoon advantage against Amed Rosario today. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Amed Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 85.9-mph over the past two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Amed Rosario's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11%. With a .291 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Amed Rosario is ranked in the 17th percentile.

Nick Pratto is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Nick Pratto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game. Nick Pratto has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Maikel Garcia has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 85.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 82.4-mph over the past 14 days. Steven Kwan's 0.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Drew Waters is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Drew Waters has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. Drew Waters's launch angle of late (25° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 16.6° seasonal mark.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles today.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee today. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nicky Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 85.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 73.5-mph in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jordan Lyles. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Dairon Blanco has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Dairon Blanco has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 28.86 ft/sec to 30.2 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee today. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Isbel's true offensive talent to be a .300, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .061 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .239 wOBA.

Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and David Fry will hold that advantage in today's matchup. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.7-mph EV.

Myles Straw's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Myles Straw will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Cam Gallagher has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.