Atlanta @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Olson in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Olson has been lucky this year. His .392 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .373. Matt Olson has notched a .268 BABIP this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

Tyler Freeman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Tyler Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Austin Riley pulls many of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 28.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Sean Murphy has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last season to 18.4% this year. In the past week's worth of games, Sean Murphy's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.4% up to 37.5%.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber today. Eddie Rosario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 11.3% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Myles Straw will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Brennan has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Will Brennan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Over the last week, Orlando Arcia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 104.3-mph lately. In notching a .291 batting average this year, Orlando Arcia has performed in the 91st percentile.

Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. David Fry will have the handedness advantage over Kolby Allard in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and David Fry will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In notching a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is positioned in the 78th percentile for hitting ability. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Marcell Ozuna sports a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Cam Gallagher will have the handedness advantage over Kolby Allard in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Cam Gallagher will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ozzie Albies has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Steven Kwan has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.