Toronto @ Miami Picks & Props

Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Garrett Hampson's launch angle this year (15.4°) is quite a bit better than his 10° angle last year.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sandy Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's game. Whit Merrifield has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

THE BAT X projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jorge Soler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Soler has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.2% rate last season to 17.6% this year. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 23.6%.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park has the shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Santiago Espinal's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 6.1% on the season to 11.1% in the last 14 days. Santiago Espinal has notched a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Santiago Espinal has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile with a 1.95 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 20th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Garrett Cooper is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Garrett Cooper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Garrett Cooper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 18.9%. Garrett Cooper's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 52.3% on the season to 60.9% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Joey Wendle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Joey Wendle's launch angle this year (7.4°) is quite a bit better than his 2.8° mark last season.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Matt Chapman has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last year to 18.5% this season.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Belt in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. Extreme flyball batters like Brandon Belt are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Brandon Belt has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph EV.

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. LoanDepot Park has the shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. George Springer has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 91.7-mph. George Springer has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .318 mark is deflated compared to his .354 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has notched a .272 batting average this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jesus Sanchez will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 41.2% to 52.2%.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. Daulton Varsho has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (18.2°) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° figure last year. Daulton Varsho's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 45% on the season to 73.3% over the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park has the shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has posted a .288 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 90th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jacob Stallings will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Jacob Stallings has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last season to 8.5% this year. Jacob Stallings has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph figure. Jacob Stallings has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .230 rate is a fair amount lower than his .268 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Cavan Biggio has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 7% rate last season to 15.7% this year. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 20.3% to 30%. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 30% on the season to 40% in the past 7 days.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Heineman has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Luis Arraez has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.