Seattle @ New York Picks & Props

Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Billy McKinney will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Billy McKinney has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph. Billy McKinney has been hot recently, compiling a a 17.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past two weeks.

Extreme flyball batters like Dylan Moore usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jhony Brito. Dylan Moore has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .326 figure is quite a bit lower than his .373 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Dylan Moore's 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Dylan Moore's 21.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 94th percentile. Dylan Moore is quite fast, grading out in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.29 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Jose Caballero has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jose Caballero has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 86.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 84.5-mph average. Jose Caballero's launch angle of late (27.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 21.4° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .208 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .251 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Anthony Rizzo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kolten Wong will have the handedness advantage against Jhony Brito today. Kolten Wong has been unlucky this year, putting up a .207 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .104 gap.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jhony Brito. Cal Raleigh has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .312 figure is a good deal lower than his .346 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Willie Calhoun is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Willie Calhoun will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Willie Calhoun will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Willie Calhoun has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile with a 1.08 K/BB rate.

Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Jhony Brito in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic's launch angle of late (28.5° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 10.8° seasonal figure. Jarred Kelenic's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 31.1% to 55.6%. Jarred Kelenic has posted a .366 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Josh Donaldson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Josh Donaldson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Josh Donaldson will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Donaldson has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 9.9% rate last year to 24.3% this season.

THE BAT X projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 18th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Teoscar Hernandez has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.6% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 49.2% on the season to 60% in the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jhony Brito. Eugenio Suarez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 40% over the last week. Eugenio Suarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 18.2% on the season to 40% over the last 7 days. Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky this year, posting a .289 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .045 gap.

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jake Bauers's launch angle lately (28.2° over the past week) is considerably better than his 14.4° seasonal mark.

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 45.3% on the season to 57.1% over the last week. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .191 mark is a good deal lower than his .237 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 40.9% to 50.7%. Kyle Higashioka's 11.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Higashioka's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last season to 9.1% this season. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 15.5% to 27.3%.

Mike Ford has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

DJ LeMahieu has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Julio Rodriguez has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.