Boston @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest centerfield fences in MLB. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.

THE BAT X projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Rafael Devers has been unlucky this year, notching a .328 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .368 — a .040 difference.

Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Whitlock in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week. Triston Casas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph average. Triston Casas's launch angle lately (20.7° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 15.5° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today. Alex Verdugo has compiled a .286 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 88th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Alex Verdugo has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph average. Masataka Yoshida has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.12 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 23.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 96.6-mph figure.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Adam Duvall has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.8% rate last year to 22.2% this year.

THE BAT X projects Josh Donaldson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Donaldson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Josh Donaldson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Donaldson has been hot recently, posting a a 50% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the past 7 days. Josh Donaldson has been hot lately, compiling a 104.7-mph average exit velocity in the last week.

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Christian Arroyo has notched a .275 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.8-mph. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .273 mark is a fair amount lower than his .328 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Anthony Volpe is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (22.9% rate this year).

Connor Wong has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 7 days. Connor Wong has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 101-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV. Connor Wong's launch angle recently (29° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 17.7° seasonal mark.

Jose Trevino will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Trevino has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .257 rate is a fair amount lower than his .304 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Jarren Duran has compiled a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Enrique Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Justin Turner has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Justin Turner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.2-mph. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 18.3% on the season to 25% in the last week.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Whitlock today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jake Bauers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Bauers has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 22% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past week.

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Willie Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Whitlock today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Willie Calhoun stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Willie Calhoun will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Willie Calhoun has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.