LIVE Top 1st Aug 22
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PIT 0 -220 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 1st Aug 22
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KC +141 o8.5
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TOR -154 o8.0
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LAD -118 o8.5
SD +109 u8.5
ATH +185 o8.0
SEA -204 u8.0
Bally Sports Network

Kansas City @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Edward Olivares
E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Edward Olivares will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Edward Olivares has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Edward Olivares's launch angle lately (21.5° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 13.8° seasonal mark. Edward Olivares has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .317 mark is considerably lower than his .371 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Edward Olivares will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Edward Olivares has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Edward Olivares's launch angle lately (21.5° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 13.8° seasonal mark. Edward Olivares has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .317 mark is considerably lower than his .371 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .284 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .026 discrepancy.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .284 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .026 discrepancy.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

Jorge Soler
J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Jorge Soler in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Jorge Soler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jorge Soler has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.2% rate last season to 18.3% this year.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jorge Soler in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Jorge Soler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jorge Soler has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.2% rate last season to 18.3% this year.

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Miami

Yuli Gurriel
Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Yuli Gurriel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst of the day. Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yuli Gurriel has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Yuli Gurriel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst of the day. Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yuli Gurriel has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV.

Jean Segura Total Hits Props • Miami

Jean Segura
J. Segura
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Jean Segura in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Jean Segura will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jean Segura has been unlucky this year, putting up a .219 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .092 deviation.

Jean Segura

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jean Segura in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Jean Segura will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jean Segura has been unlucky this year, putting up a .219 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .092 deviation.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Maikel Garcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Maikel Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Maikel Garcia has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Maikel Garcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Maikel Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Maikel Garcia has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a significant increase over his 12° figure last season. Vinnie Pasquantino's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (18.2° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 11.8° seasonal mark. Vinnie Pasquantino has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is a fair amount lower than his .294 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a significant increase over his 12° figure last season. Vinnie Pasquantino's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (18.2° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 11.8° seasonal mark. Vinnie Pasquantino has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is a fair amount lower than his .294 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

Joey Wendle
J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Zack Greinke in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Joey Wendle will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Zack Greinke in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Joey Wendle will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Salvador Perez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Salvador Perez has compiled a .282 batting average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Salvador Perez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Salvador Perez has compiled a .282 batting average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

Bryan De La Cruz
B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryan De La Cruz as the 15th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Bryan De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Bryan De La Cruz as the 15th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Bryan De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Drew Waters has been hot recently, putting up a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past week. Drew Waters has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the last 7 days.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Drew Waters has been hot recently, putting up a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past week. Drew Waters has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the last 7 days.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Pratto
N. Pratto
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Nick Pratto has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days. Nick Pratto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93-mph. Nick Pratto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 52.8% on the season to 62.5% over the last week. Nick Pratto has notched a .339 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Nick Pratto has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days. Nick Pratto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93-mph. Nick Pratto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 52.8% on the season to 62.5% over the last week. Nick Pratto has notched a .339 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Miami

Garrett Cooper
G. Cooper
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 13th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Garrett Cooper is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Garrett Cooper will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Garrett Cooper has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 13th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Garrett Cooper is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Garrett Cooper will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Garrett Cooper has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Jesus Sanchez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Greinke today. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jesus Sanchez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Greinke today. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

MJ Melendez
M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. MJ Melendez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph mark. MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year, notching a .301 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .027 difference.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. MJ Melendez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph mark. MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year, notching a .301 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .027 difference.

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Matt Duffy
M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Matt Duffy in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Matt Duffy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Matt Duffy has compiled a .335 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Matt Duffy in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Matt Duffy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Matt Duffy has compiled a .335 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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