Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0
Bally Sports Network

Detroit @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Matt Duffy
M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

This year, Matt Duffy has been pinch hit for in 30% of his appearances when starting against southpaw. The direction of the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup poses an unfortunate challenge for Matt Duffy, despite having a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs of 42.2%. Matt Duffy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 20.8% to 13%. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Matt Duffy has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .266 actual batting average. Matt Duffy's 3.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This year, Matt Duffy has been pinch hit for in 30% of his appearances when starting against southpaw. The direction of the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup poses an unfortunate challenge for Matt Duffy, despite having a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs of 42.2%. Matt Duffy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 20.8% to 13%. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Matt Duffy has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .266 actual batting average. Matt Duffy's 3.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

Matt Vierling
M. Vierling
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Zack Greinke will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling in today's matchup. The direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup poses an unfortunate challenge for Matt Vierling, despite having a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs of 39%. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. By putting up a .300 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) this year, Matt Vierling has performed in the 21st percentile for offensive ability.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Zack Greinke will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling in today's matchup. The direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup poses an unfortunate challenge for Matt Vierling, despite having a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs of 39%. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. By putting up a .300 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) this year, Matt Vierling has performed in the 21st percentile for offensive ability.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Generally, Kauffman Stadium is considered unfavorable for HRs due to having the 2nd-lowest fair ground in MLB.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Generally, Kauffman Stadium is considered unfavorable for HRs due to having the 2nd-lowest fair ground in MLB.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jake Rogers
J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Detroit

Eric Haase
E. Haase
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Eric Haase has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Eric Haase has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his batting average ability, Vinnie Pasquantino is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his batting average ability, Vinnie Pasquantino is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Edward Olivares
E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Estimating Edward Olivares's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 81st percentile. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Estimating Edward Olivares's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 81st percentile. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Andy Ibanez
A. Ibanez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. A significant rise in Andy Ibanez's exit velocity on flyballs is figureident this season as his average of 96.7 mph is much lower than last season's 92.8 mph figure.

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. A significant rise in Andy Ibanez's exit velocity on flyballs is figureident this season as his average of 96.7 mph is much lower than last season's 92.8 mph figure.

Jonathan Schoop Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jonathan Schoop
J. Schoop
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.229) implies that Jonathan Schoop since the start of last season with his .204 actual batting average.

Jonathan Schoop

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.229) implies that Jonathan Schoop since the start of last season with his .204 actual batting average.

Nick Maton Total Hits Props • Detroit

Nick Maton
N. Maton
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

Nick Maton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Pratto
N. Pratto
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

This season, Nick Pratto mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (52% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 4th spot. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This season, Nick Pratto mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (52% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 4th spot. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Maikel Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game... and moreover, Boyd has a huge platoon split.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Maikel Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game... and moreover, Boyd has a huge platoon split.

Akil Baddoo Total Hits Props • Detroit

Akil Baddoo
A. Baddoo
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Greinke in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

Akil Baddoo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Greinke in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

MJ Melendez
M. Melendez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.72
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Zach McKinstry has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.10
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Riley Greene has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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