Detroit @ Kansas City Picks & Props

This year, Matt Duffy has been pinch hit for in 30% of his appearances when starting against southpaw. The direction of the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup poses an unfortunate challenge for Matt Duffy, despite having a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs of 42.2%. Matt Duffy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 20.8% to 13%. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Matt Duffy has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .266 actual batting average. Matt Duffy's 3.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Zack Greinke will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling in today's matchup. The direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup poses an unfortunate challenge for Matt Vierling, despite having a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs of 39%. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. By putting up a .300 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) this year, Matt Vierling has performed in the 21st percentile for offensive ability.

Generally, Kauffman Stadium is considered unfavorable for HRs due to having the 2nd-lowest fair ground in MLB.

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Eric Haase has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

When assessing his batting average ability, Vinnie Pasquantino is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Estimating Edward Olivares's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 81st percentile. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. A significant rise in Andy Ibanez's exit velocity on flyballs is figureident this season as his average of 96.7 mph is much lower than last season's 92.8 mph figure.

THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.229) implies that Jonathan Schoop since the start of last season with his .204 actual batting average.

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

This season, Nick Pratto mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (52% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 4th spot. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. THE BAT projection system ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 5th field in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Maikel Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game... and moreover, Boyd has a huge platoon split.

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Greinke in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th park in the league for left-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

Zach McKinstry has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Riley Greene has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Javier Baez has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jackie Bradley Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.