Cleveland @ New York Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Arias in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Bats such as Gabriel Arias with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Justin Verlander who specialize in flyballs. Over the last 14 days, Gabriel Arias has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.1% to 14.3%. Over the last two weeks, Gabriel Arias's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 64.3%, whereas it was 45.5% earlier in the season.

In terms of his BABIP ability, Brett Baty ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Bieber in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Andres Gimenez, who uses extreme groundball batters, typically has more success against pitchers like Justin Verlander, who tend to throw extreme flyballs.

Amed Rosario is projected as the 15th-best batter in MLB when evaluating his BABIP ability, according to THE BAT X. Amed Rosario is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Amed Rosario usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander. Amed Rosario has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark.

According to THE BAT projection system, Citi Field ranks as the 30th stadium in the game for left-handed batting average. Compared to other stadiums in the majors, Citi Field has a near sea-level elevation that often results in decreased offensive production. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.7% to 10.1%.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Steven Kwan is ranked in the 94th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Steven Kwan will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander in today's matchup. Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Justin Verlander, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball batters such as Josh Bell.

Mike Zunino pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Daniel Vogelbach's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his EV of 100.3-mph, which surpasses his seasonal EV of 91.1-mph.

When assessing Tyler Freeman's batting average captalent, THE BAT X places him in the 95th percentile. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Starling Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Starling Marte are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Bieber. Starling Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. A considerable increase has been observed in Starling Marte's average launch mark on his highest exit velocity balls in the past two weeks, reaching 22.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Lately, Francisco Alvarez has enhanced his Barrel% bigly, rising from his seasonal rate of 8.5% to 19.2% in the past 14 days. Francisco Alvarez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.5-mph mark.

Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Brennan can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. His launch mark has significantly improved in the past two weeks, recording 11.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.3°, Will Brennan's performance shows.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Eduardo Escobar will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. As of late, Eduardo Escobar has experienced a noteworthy gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, EVident in his average of 95.7 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 91.1 mph. Eduardo Escobar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 44.3% on the season to 54.5% over the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. A significant increase in Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed lately, evidenced by his mark of 92.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games in comparison to his seasonal mark of 90.6-mph. Over the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez has improved his capacity to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs, which has surged from 18.9% for the season to 37%.

Myles Straw's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. In the last week's worth of games, Myles Straw has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 1.9% to 9.1%. Myles Straw has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 88.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.2-mph EV.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Gary Sanchez pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.