Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0
SNY, Bally Sports Network

Cleveland @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Gabriel Arias
G. Arias
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Gabriel Arias is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Gabriel Arias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Gabriel Arias is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Gabriel Arias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Citi Field profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. As one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, Citi Field's altitude, being near sea-level, typically results in reduced offensive output. This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of all teams today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 9.8%.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citi Field profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. As one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, Citi Field's altitude, being near sea-level, typically results in reduced offensive output. This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of all teams today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 9.8%.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Citi Field profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. As one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, Citi Field's altitude, being near sea-level, typically results in reduced offensive output. This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Having recorded a 0% Barrel% (a reliable indicator of power) in the past week, Steven Kwan has been struggling lately.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citi Field profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. As one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, Citi Field's altitude, being near sea-level, typically results in reduced offensive output. This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Having recorded a 0% Barrel% (a reliable indicator of power) in the past week, Steven Kwan has been struggling lately.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Grading out in the 88th percentile, Andres Gimenez sits with a .337 BABIP since the start of last season.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Grading out in the 88th percentile, Andres Gimenez sits with a .337 BABIP since the start of last season.

Mike Zunino Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Mike Zunino
M. Zunino
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Mike Zunino pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Mike Zunino has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .155 rate is considerably lower than his .174 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Ranking in the 96th percentile, Mike Zunino has achieved a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph since the start of last season, as measured by an advanced metric for assessing power. Mike Zunino's 20.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 92nd percentile.

Mike Zunino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Mike Zunino pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Mike Zunino has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .155 rate is considerably lower than his .174 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Ranking in the 96th percentile, Mike Zunino has achieved a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph since the start of last season, as measured by an advanced metric for assessing power. Mike Zunino's 20.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 92nd percentile.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Myles Straw
M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Myles Straw in the 86th percentile. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Myles Straw has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Myles Straw in the 86th percentile. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Myles Straw has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Francisco Alvarez has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 7.3% to 16.7%.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Francisco Alvarez has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 7.3% to 16.7%.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Daniel Vogelbach
D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Josh Bell is projected to be in the 88th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .349, Josh Bell has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only posting a .310 wOBA, resulting in a discrepancy of .039.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Josh Bell is projected to be in the 88th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .349, Josh Bell has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only posting a .310 wOBA, resulting in a discrepancy of .039.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Amed Rosario
A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Amed Rosario is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Recently, Amed Rosario has witnessed a notable enhancement in his exit velocity, evident by the contrast between his seasonal 91.6-mph marks and his current 95.1-mph average over the last 14 days.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Amed Rosario is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Recently, Amed Rosario has witnessed a notable enhancement in his exit velocity, evident by the contrast between his seasonal 91.6-mph marks and his current 95.1-mph average over the last 14 days.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Will Brennan
W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his batting average talent, Will Brennan is ranked in the 85th percentile by THE BAT X projects. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Brennan has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .236 mark is quite a bit lower than his .315 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Will Brennan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his batting average talent, Will Brennan is ranked in the 85th percentile by THE BAT X projects. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Brennan has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .236 mark is quite a bit lower than his .315 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 87th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 87th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average ability, Starling Marte is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Starling Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In his recent games, Starling Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.2-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal figure of 89.5-mph.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average ability, Starling Marte is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Starling Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In his recent games, Starling Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.2-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal figure of 89.5-mph.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jose Ramirez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jose Ramirez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Canha
M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Mark Canha will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Canha has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .330 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Mark Canha will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Canha has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .330 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Cam Gallagher Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Cam Gallagher
C. Gallagher
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Cam Gallagher's speed has increased this year. His 24.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.41 ft/sec now. Cam Gallagher has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .189 mark is a fair amount lower than his .219 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Cam Gallagher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Cam Gallagher's speed has increased this year. His 24.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.41 ft/sec now. Cam Gallagher has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .189 mark is a fair amount lower than his .219 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test