Cleveland @ New York Picks & Props

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Gabriel Arias is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Gabriel Arias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.

Citi Field profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. As one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, Citi Field's altitude, being near sea-level, typically results in reduced offensive output. This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of all teams today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 9.8%.

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Citi Field profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. As one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, Citi Field's altitude, being near sea-level, typically results in reduced offensive output. This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Having recorded a 0% Barrel% (a reliable indicator of power) in the past week, Steven Kwan has been struggling lately.

THE BAT X projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Grading out in the 88th percentile, Andres Gimenez sits with a .337 BABIP since the start of last season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Mike Zunino pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Mike Zunino has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .155 rate is considerably lower than his .174 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Ranking in the 96th percentile, Mike Zunino has achieved a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph since the start of last season, as measured by an advanced metric for assessing power. Mike Zunino's 20.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 92nd percentile.

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Myles Straw in the 86th percentile. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Myles Straw has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Francisco Alvarez has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 7.3% to 16.7%.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

Josh Bell is projected to be in the 88th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .349, Josh Bell has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only posting a .310 wOBA, resulting in a discrepancy of .039.

THE BAT X projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Amed Rosario is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Recently, Amed Rosario has witnessed a notable enhancement in his exit velocity, evident by the contrast between his seasonal 91.6-mph marks and his current 95.1-mph average over the last 14 days.

When assessing his batting average talent, Will Brennan is ranked in the 85th percentile by THE BAT X projects. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Brennan has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .236 mark is quite a bit lower than his .315 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 87th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his batting average ability, Starling Marte is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Starling Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In his recent games, Starling Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.2-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal figure of 89.5-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jose Ramirez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Mark Canha will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Canha has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .330 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Cam Gallagher's speed has increased this year. His 24.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.41 ft/sec now. Cam Gallagher has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .189 mark is a fair amount lower than his .219 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.