Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0
Bally Sports Network, Sportsnet, MLBN

Atlanta @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Via THE BAT projection system, venue ranks as the 26nd venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weatherman calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Ozzie Albies has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 40.8% on the season to 25% in the past week.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Via THE BAT projection system, venue ranks as the 26nd venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weatherman calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Ozzie Albies has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 40.8% on the season to 25% in the past week.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

Kevin Kiermaier
K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Collin McHugh today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. As of late, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a noteworthy gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, EVident in his average of 101 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 88 mph.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Collin McHugh today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. As of late, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a noteworthy gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, EVident in his average of 101 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 88 mph.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projections rank Matt Olson as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. By increasing his Barrel% from 13.6% in the previous season to 18.6% this season, Matt Olson has displayed significant improvements.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projections rank Matt Olson as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. By increasing his Barrel% from 13.6% in the previous season to 18.6% this season, Matt Olson has displayed significant improvements.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Sean Murphy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. This season, Sean Murphy has elevated his Barrel% significantly, increasing it from 10.5% in the previous season to 23.2%.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Sean Murphy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. This season, Sean Murphy has elevated his Barrel% significantly, increasing it from 10.5% in the previous season to 23.2%.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

Whit Merrifield
W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

In terms of his batting average talent, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Lately, Whit Merrifield' exit velocity on flyballs has notably increased, as EVidenced by his average of 98.6-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph. There has been a significant increase in Whit Merrifield's launch angle, which was at 28.7° over the past 7 days compared to his seasonal angle of 14.1°.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his batting average talent, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Lately, Whit Merrifield' exit velocity on flyballs has notably increased, as EVidenced by his average of 98.6-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph. There has been a significant increase in Whit Merrifield's launch angle, which was at 28.7° over the past 7 days compared to his seasonal angle of 14.1°.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Austin Riley will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .366, Austin Riley has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only compiling a .318 wOBA, resulting in a disparity of .048.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Austin Riley will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .366, Austin Riley has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only compiling a .318 wOBA, resulting in a disparity of .048.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Collin McHugh today. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Daulton Varsho has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 8% to 18.2%, showcasing sizeable strides in his performance.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Collin McHugh today. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Daulton Varsho has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 8% to 18.2%, showcasing sizeable strides in his performance.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Orlando Arcia
O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Orlando Arcia will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Recently, Orlando Arcia has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 43.2% during the season to 55.6% in the past week.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Orlando Arcia will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Recently, Orlando Arcia has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 43.2% during the season to 55.6% in the past week.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. His average launch mark on the hardest-hit balls this year is 22.7°, which is significantly higher compared to his mark of 15° in the previous season - Danny Jansen Of late, Danny Jansen's proficiency in hitting the ball at a launch angle that maximizes the Home Run count (ranging from -4° to 26°) has progressed considerably. In the previous week, this ability has been boosted from 19.6% for the season to 28.6%. Up until now, Danny Jansen has been experiencing unfavorable variance towards his wOBA this year, as his current rate of .252 is noticeably lower than his expected wOBA of .338, which has been determined through THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. His average launch mark on the hardest-hit balls this year is 22.7°, which is significantly higher compared to his mark of 15° in the previous season - Danny Jansen Of late, Danny Jansen's proficiency in hitting the ball at a launch angle that maximizes the Home Run count (ranging from -4° to 26°) has progressed considerably. In the previous week, this ability has been boosted from 19.6% for the season to 28.6%. Up until now, Danny Jansen has been experiencing unfavorable variance towards his wOBA this year, as his current rate of .252 is noticeably lower than his expected wOBA of .338, which has been determined through THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Even though THE BAT X estimates George Springer' true talent level to be .360, a .099 discrepancy, he has unfortunately posted a .261 wOBA this year.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Even though THE BAT X estimates George Springer' true talent level to be .360, a .099 discrepancy, he has unfortunately posted a .261 wOBA this year.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 28.4% this year.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 28.4% this year.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Kevin Pillar
K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. This year, Kevin Pillar has improved his footspeed. His Statcast Sprint footspeed has increased from 27.11 ft/sec last season to 27.89 ft/sec. Kevin Pillar has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 figure is quite a bit lower than his .324 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. This year, Kevin Pillar has improved his footspeed. His Statcast Sprint footspeed has increased from 27.11 ft/sec last season to 27.89 ft/sec. Kevin Pillar has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 figure is quite a bit lower than his .324 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

Brandon Belt
B. Belt
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Collin McHugh in today's matchup. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Brandon Belt has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 44.4% in the last 14 days. Comparing his seasonal 91.4-mph EV to his 99.1-mph average in the past week's games, Brandon Belt's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times.

Brandon Belt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Collin McHugh in today's matchup. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Brandon Belt has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 44.4% in the last 14 days. Comparing his seasonal 91.4-mph EV to his 99.1-mph average in the past week's games, Brandon Belt's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Toronto

Santiago Espinal
S. Espinal
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Santiago Espinal has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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