Atlanta @ Toronto Picks & Props

Via THE BAT projection system, venue ranks as the 26nd venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weatherman calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Ozzie Albies has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 40.8% on the season to 25% in the past week.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Collin McHugh today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. As of late, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a noteworthy gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, EVident in his average of 101 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 88 mph.

THE BAT X projections rank Matt Olson as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. By increasing his Barrel% from 13.6% in the previous season to 18.6% this season, Matt Olson has displayed significant improvements.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Sean Murphy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. This season, Sean Murphy has elevated his Barrel% significantly, increasing it from 10.5% in the previous season to 23.2%.

In terms of his batting average talent, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Lately, Whit Merrifield' exit velocity on flyballs has notably increased, as EVidenced by his average of 98.6-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph. There has been a significant increase in Whit Merrifield's launch angle, which was at 28.7° over the past 7 days compared to his seasonal angle of 14.1°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Austin Riley will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .366, Austin Riley has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only compiling a .318 wOBA, resulting in a disparity of .048.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Collin McHugh today. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Daulton Varsho has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 8% to 18.2%, showcasing sizeable strides in his performance.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Orlando Arcia will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Recently, Orlando Arcia has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 43.2% during the season to 55.6% in the past week.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. His average launch mark on the hardest-hit balls this year is 22.7°, which is significantly higher compared to his mark of 15° in the previous season - Danny Jansen Of late, Danny Jansen's proficiency in hitting the ball at a launch angle that maximizes the Home Run count (ranging from -4° to 26°) has progressed considerably. In the previous week, this ability has been boosted from 19.6% for the season to 28.6%. Up until now, Danny Jansen has been experiencing unfavorable variance towards his wOBA this year, as his current rate of .252 is noticeably lower than his expected wOBA of .338, which has been determined through THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Even though THE BAT X estimates George Springer' true talent level to be .360, a .099 discrepancy, he has unfortunately posted a .261 wOBA this year.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 28.4% this year.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. This year, Kevin Pillar has improved his footspeed. His Statcast Sprint footspeed has increased from 27.11 ft/sec last season to 27.89 ft/sec. Kevin Pillar has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 figure is quite a bit lower than his .324 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Collin McHugh in today's matchup. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Brandon Belt has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 44.4% in the last 14 days. Comparing his seasonal 91.4-mph EV to his 99.1-mph average in the past week's games, Brandon Belt's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Santiago Espinal has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Marcell Ozuna has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 5.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.