MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 11, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 19th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 15th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Royce Lewis has experienced some negative variance given the .056 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Total Bases
Jimmy Crooks logo
Jimmy Crooks o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Jimmy Crooks is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have an edge today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Liam Hicks is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Liam Hicks has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Liam Hicks hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Pavin Smith logo
Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pavin Smith is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.. Pavin Smith has posted a .336 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.. Pavin Smith has notched a .347 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jun 11 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nicky Lopez logo
Nicky Lopez u0.5 Total Hits (+153)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 4th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. This year, Nicky Lopez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 27% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Nicky Lopez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Total Home Runs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Projection 0.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jun 11 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Seiya Suzuki has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9% seasonal rate to 18.5% in the past 14 days.. Seiya Suzuki has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.3-mph average.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jun 11 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (+112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Mitch Keller has been tagged for a .312/.389/.634 slash line against the Dodgers, and with LA southpaw Justin Wrobleski ranking in the 98th percentile in pitching run value at Baseball Savant, I’m more than comfortable laying the run line with the defending champs.
 

Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. PNC Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jun 11 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Patrick Wisdom logo
Patrick Wisdom o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Patrick Wisdom as Major League Baseball's 6th-best home run hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Over the last 14 days, Patrick Wisdom has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 21.4% to 28.6%.. Patrick Wisdom has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 101.6-mph.
Total Bases
Sam Huff logo
Sam Huff u1.5 Total Bases (-350)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Sam Huff ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sam Huff is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sam Huff has been pinch hit for 37% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Sam Huff will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Based on Statcast metrics, Sam Huff grades out in the 5th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .198.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jun 11 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Miguel Vargas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Anthony Kay in today's matchup.. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. In the past week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 18.2%.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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