MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 10, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jul 10 • 6:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Ashcraft in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
View 4 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 10 • 6:45 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 86°.. James Wood will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
View Pick
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jul 10 • 7:05 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Taylor Ward hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. Taylor Ward will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 7 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge in today's game.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. JJ Bleday will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
View 2 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Stowers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Parker Messick throws from, Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage today.. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Stowers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Parker Messick throws from, Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage today.. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
View 7 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jul 10 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball.. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Nick Kurtz will have the upper hand today.. Nick Kurtz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
View Pick
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Jul 10 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

While Hunter Brown has limited Rangers hitters to a .671 OPS, Cal Quantrill has struggled against Astros batters, with Houston boasting a .302/.381/.511 slash line against the right-hander. Take Houston to prevail in the series opener of this Lone Star showdown.

View Pick
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jul 10 • 8:15 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split.. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
View 6 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Jul 10 • 10:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Andy Pages will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Andy Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Mookie Betts will have an edge in today's game.. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Mookie Betts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
View 9 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 18 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 28 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.