LIVE Bottom 2nd May 3
SD 0 +108 o9.5
PIT 0 -117 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 8th May 3
COL 3 +251 o8.5
SF 6 -282 u8.5
LIVE Top 7th May 3
MIN 4 +104 o9.5
BOS 1 -113 u9.5
LIVE Top 8th May 3
ATH 5 +113 o9.0
MIA 4 -122 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 1st May 3
AZ 0 +106 o9.5
PHI 0 -115 u9.5
WAS +165 o9.0
CIN -180 u9.0
SEA -122 o9.0
TEX +113 u9.0
CHC -111 o8.5
MIL +103 u8.5
KC +103 o9.0
BAL -111 u9.0
LAD +115 o8.5
ATL -125 u8.5
DET -188 o9.0
LAA +171 u9.0
Final May 3
TB 3 +194 o9.5
NYY 2 -214 u9.5
Final May 3
HOU 8 -211 o7.5
CHW 3 +191 u7.5
Final May 3
CLE 5 +140 o7.5
TOR 3 -153 u7.5

Kansas City @ Baltimore preview

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Last Meeting ( May 18, 2014 ) Baltimore 6, Kansas City 8


The Kansas City Royals are entering their first American League Championship Series since winning the World Series in 1985. The Baltimore Orioles, who host the Royals in Game 1 of the ALCS on Friday, are back for the first time since 1997 and are searching for the franchise’s first pennant since 1983. The Orioles and Kansas City present a contrast of styles but got to the ALCS the same way – with strong starting pitching and dominant bullpen work.

Baltimore led the majors in home runs and was last in stolen bases during the regular season while Kansas City was last in home runs but sat on top in stolen bases. The Royals do all the things well that teams need to do to win without hitting home runs, including playing great defense, but started to power up in the postseason with key extra-inning blasts from Mike Moustakas and Eric Hosmer. Even without Manny Machado, Chris Davis and Matt Wieters in the lineup, the Orioles pounded Detroit pitching in the ALDS behind a strong series from Nelson Cruz and consistent production from Nick Markakis in the leadoff spot.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP:
Royals RH James Shields (1-0, 4.91 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Chris Tillman (1-0, 3.60)

“Big Game” James was bailed out by his offense after allowing four runs in five innings in the wild-card game against Oakland and surrendered a pair of solo home runs before earning the win over Los Angeles in his lone ALDS start. The free agent to-be’s big-game reputation outpaces the actual results as he is 3-4 with a 4.96 ERA in eight career postseason starts, including 0-2 in the ALCS. Shields picked up a pair of wins over the Orioles earlier this season, yielding a total of five runs and 12 hits in 14 innings.

Tillman battled through five innings against Detroit in Game 1 of the ALDS and held the Tigers to a pair of solo home runs in earning the win. The 26-year-old completed seven innings only once in his last seven starts but issued only one walk against Detroit while striking out six. Tillman had no trouble going deep into the game against the Royals on May 16, when he tossed a five-hit shutout.

WALK-OFFS

1. Cruz owns 16 career postseason home runs, including eight in 12 ALCS games.

2. Kansas City DH Billy Butler went 0-for-9 with three walks in the ALDS.

3. Baltimore LHP Andrew Miller totaled 3 1/3 hitless innings in the ALDS.

PREDICTION:
Orioles 7, Royals 3

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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