Sunday sees two Premier League games taking place simultaneously.
Here we’ll be taking a look at Newcastle vs. Leicester, a game that should see plenty of attacking as Leicester look to continue their impressive end to the season.
Just six points separate these teams but who’ll come out on top come the final whistle? Don’t miss our Newcastle vs. Leicester tips and predictions.
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Newcastle vs Leicester City match odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Newcastle vs Leicester City betting tips
Predictions made on 4/16/2022 at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Newcastle vs Leicester City game info
• Location: St. James' Park Stadium, Newcastle Upon Tyne, England
• Date: Sunday, April 17, 2022
• Time: 9:15 a.m. ET
• TV: USA Network
Newcastle vs Leicester City betting preview
Weather
Temperatures around 60 degrees in Newcastle means supporters won’t be cold but with the sun hiding behind clouds, they won’t be wearing sunglasses either.
Injuries
Newcastle: Joe Willock CM (Out), Jamal Lewis LB (Out), Kieran Trippier RB (Out), Callum Wilson ST (Out).
Leicester City: Wilfried Ndidi DM (Out), Jamie Vardy STR (Out), Ryan Bertrand LB (Out).
Newcastle vs Leicester City predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Side analysis
Sunday sees a pair of Premier League games both being played simultaneously ahead of the second FA Cup semifinal later in the day.
While others might be looking to the FA Cup, there’s no doubt where the attention of Newcastle and Leicester fans will be with both clubs set to meet at St. James' Park.
It’s been a wild ride for both clubs this season. For Newcastle, it started with the team heading toward relegation, then the arrival of astronomical Saudi money after the takeover.
Then in January, new manager Eddie Howe was able to reinforce his team with enough talent to ensure they stay up. Howe was smart with his signings, signing a mixture of established Premier League players, such as Dan Burn and Chris Wood and then players such as Bruno Guimaraes, the highly touted Brazilian from Lyon.
Burn and Wood are experienced and will be able to do enough to keep the team securely in the Premier League but ultimately might not be at the club in three or four years when they’re expected to be challenging for the title, whereas it’s hoped that young talent like Guimaraes could be a cornerstone in the team then.
Leicester fans will never forget their Premier League title, a truly iconic moment in the history of the English game. Brendan Rodgers' team struggled at the start of the season, partially due to a number of injuries to their most experienced and better players. They’ve slowly worked their way up the table and now find themselves in the top half and in a Europa Conference League semi-final.
Despite the gulf of positions in between them, the gap is only actually six points, which really highlights just how badly Leicester struggled earlier in the season. Despite being close to Newcastle their focus will be on those below them. They’re ten points clear of Burnley in 18th, the final relegation spot, but they can’t be totally confident of safety just yet, even if it’s unlikely they fall.
Leicester is a huge price at +230 but you have to question whether they’ll be totally fit following Thursday’s big Europa Conference League clash or whether Brendan Rodgers will reshuffle his pack and rest players.
The two CBs on Thursday, Wesley Fofana and Jonny Evans, are those most at risk of being rested and missing them would be very detrimental to the team, despite Daniel Amartey and Caglar Soyuncu being able deputies.
They’ll set up in a 4-2-3-1 with Patson Daka likely to lead the line in Jamie Vardy’s absence. Daka has done well for Leicester in Europe but his tally of four Premier League goals has been disappointing, meaning a lot of responsibility will fall on the shoulders of James Maddison and Harvey Barnes to create goals.
Howe is likely to get his Newcastle team playing in a 4-3-3 and the midfield battle between Guimaraes, Jonjo Shelvey, and Joelinton with their Leicester counterparts Youri Tielemans and Nampalys Mendy will be the key here.
When all is said and done, I’m backing Leicester for the win, especially at bettor-friendly odds of +230.
That said, I’d recommend waiting until the lineups are released and deciding whether to wager on the Foxes by how many players they bench from Thursday’s win in Europe.
Prediction: Leicester (+230 at bet365)
Over/Under analysis
The bookies have this as a pick’em and it really feels like one of those that could go either way.
If you look at Leicester's record this season, you’ll see that 64.3% of away games have ended Over 2.5 goals. When you take a deep dive into the numbers though, you see that four of the last five have been Under 2.5 goals, perhaps indicative of a team who has started to see their best defensive players return from injury.
The stats don’t tell the full story with Newcastle either. 53.3% of home games have seen Over 2.5 goals but in the past nine games, there have only been three games hitting the Over. They too have improved in a way that isn’t shown by the stats.
With that in mind, we’ll look closer at the most recent stats which imply that Under 2.5 goals is the way to go here.
Prediction: Under 2.5 (-110 at bet365)
Best bet
Having studied the betting markets for this game, I’m struggling to find a great bet beyond those mentioned already. With doubts over lineups, I’m avoiding recommending anybody to get booked, leaving me with very little to choose from.
For that reason, I’d recommend backing Leicester to win at odds of +230. The odds don’t really look right to me with Leicester a far superior team in nearly every way, even if they are missing some of their better players. At those odds, it’s well worth a small wager.
Pick: Leicester (+230 at bet365)
