Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Predictions & Picks for Wedneday's Champions League Match

Harry Kane's been scoring goals with relative ease in recent weeks, and there's no reason to think that won't continue at Villa Park on Wednesday.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Sep 30, 2024 • 10:10 ET • 4 min read
Harry Kane Bayern Munich Champions League
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We have a fascinating Champions League game on Wednesday, October 2, with Aston Villa taking on Bayern Munich.

When the English club qualified for this year’s Champions League, their fans would have been dreaming of affairs like this against the Bavarian giants and genuine European blue bloods. Read my Aston Villa vs. Bayern Munich predictions and free betting picks to find out if they can overcome one of the best teams on the planet. 

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich picks and predictions

My best bet:
Harry Kane anytime goalscorer (-125 at Betano)

My analysis
There was initially some doubt whether Harry Kane would take part in this match after being taken off in the final few minutes of their 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen with an apparent ankle injury. Vincent Kompany said he was hopeful it was “nothing serious,” and the England captain himself said, “It was painful, but it’s not too bad”. All the reporting is positive, with his team having high confidence he’ll be on the field this Wednesday.

Harry Kane is a man that Aston Villa and their fans know well, considering he played them 13 times in all competitions during his time with Tottenham, with his team winning nine of those games, and more worryingly for fans, scoring eight goals and setting up two more.

Goals have been the basis for Kane’s incredible career, and since moving to Bayern Munich just over a year ago, he’s continued to score plenty, with 54 goals in 52 games for the six-time European champions.

He’s been in incredible form this season. In just five Bundesliga games, he’s scored five and set up four more, while in the club’s Champions League game against Dinamo Zagreb, he scored four of their nine goals. He's averaging a goal every 55 minutes right now. 

With Aston Villa averaging 1.5 goals allowed per league game, it makes Villa Park an intriguing place for this Bayern team to play, especially for Kane, who knows this stadium well. He’s playing for a great attacking team and will feel comfortable back in his home country. That’s a recipe for chances, and with Kane, he very rarely misses.

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich same-game parlay (SGP)

Harry Kane anytime goalscorer

Bayern Munich to win

Both teams to score — Yes

We’re going to back the visitors to win. This is a huge occasion for Aston Villa, and while the Premier League is the strongest league in the world, this side doesn’t have the ability to handle Bayern Munich for 90 minutes. This is a team packed with top-level players, and more importantly, they have the experience and knowledge to get the job done.

We’re also going to back a goal from both sides. Aston Villa are more than capable of scoring goals and have two good strikers in Ollie Watkins and Jhon Duran. Villa have scored 12 goals in just six league games and scored three last time out in the Champions League.

Bayern have scored 21 goals in their past four games, but they’ve conceded in three of those matches, including giving up two goals to Dinamo Zagreb in their last Champions League contest.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich odds

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich live odds

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich opening odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa +275 | Bayern Munich -110
  • Draw: +260
  • Over/Under: Over 3 (-129) | Under 3 (-102)

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich side and Over/Under analysis

  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten this season and have scored 21 goals in their past four games in all competitions.

  • The Over 2.5 has landed in both of the team’s last Champions League games.

  • The Over 2.5 has landed in 83.3% of Aston Villa’s league games this season and all three of Bayern Munich’s league games on the road.

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich game info

Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England
Date: Wednesday, 10-2-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN
Weather: Clear skies.

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich key injuries

Aston Villa: John McGinn MID (Out), Boubacar Kamara CM (Out), Tyrone Mings CB (Out), Matty Cash RB (Questionable).
Bayern Munich: Hiroki Ito DEF (Out), Josip Stanisic DEF (Out), Sacha Boey RB (Out), Harry Kane  STR(Questionable).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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