2023 RBC Canadian Open Picks & Live Odds: Tracking the Action at Oakdale

With two wins in two tries here at RBC Canadian Open, Rory McIlroy has enjoyed a ton of success north of the border. He's back for more in 2023 and is sitting comfortably atop the odds board as a short +450 betting favorite.

Jun 8, 2023 • 10:30 ET • 4 min read

Rory McIlroy's final round at the Memorial certainly didn't go as planned but he's playing better and gets a chance to defend back-to-back titles at the RBC Canadian Open this week.

With a lighter field and both Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm taking a week off ahead of the U.S. Open, Rory is fetching some short odds at Oakdale Golf & Country Club.

We break down his chances and more in our RBC Canadian Open betting preview below, including golf odds, free golf picks, and more. 

Live odds to win 2023 RBC Canadian Open

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RBC Canadian Open picks and predictions

Tyrrell Hatton Top 10 (+137 at bet365)

What’s not to love about Tyrrell Hatton’s game right now?

He’s No. 1 in the field in total strokes gained over the last month and over that stretch, ranks fourth from tee-to-green, 13th in putting, and 23rd on approach — his worst rank in all major SG categories over that span, per DataGolf.

His results of late bear that out: he has two Top 5s among five straight Top 20s starting with the RBC Heritage back in April and it’s seemingly a different part of his game that’s shining every week.

He missed the cut at this event last season (albeit on a different course) but that came due to an atrocious week on the greens and with his irons. That’s simply not who he’s been of late.   

Justin Rose over Cameron Young (+120 at FanDuel)

This isn’t for the faint of heart considering Cam has the talent to notch his first win any week now, but his form of late suggests that isn’t going to come this week. 

On top of this being his debut in Canada, he’s on a T51-T59-MC-MC run over his last four starts and has gone ice cold on the greens — he ranks 118th in the field in putting over the last month (DataGolf).

Rosie, meanwhile, has continued to play well since his win at Pebble Beach back in February, and unlike Cam, is playing particularly well at the moment — he finished T9 at Oak Hill, T12 at Colonial, and should be rested after taking last week off. 

He leads this week’s field in strokes gained tee-to-green and strokes gained approach, and also finished inside the Top 5 at this event a year ago. Add in the juicy plus-money price and this quickly becomes a no-brainer. 

RBC Canadian Open field and favorites

Considering he's a two-time champion and the only one in the OWGR Top 5 teeing it up this week, seeing Rory listed between +400 and +500 shouldn't come as a surprise. 

Albeit on different courses, Rory won by seven shots in 2019 after a final-round 61 and then successfully defended that title in 2022 (no event in 2020 or 2021) with a final-round 62, getting the best of Justin Thomas and Tony Finau in the process. 

He held a 54-hole co-lead at the Memorial over the weekend but couldn't convert after struggling with his game on Sunday. Could a week in Canada be just what he needs ahead of the season's third major?

The second-highest OWGR player in the field is Matt Fitzpatrick (+1,400), who is just a few weeks removed from his win at the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town. Fitz finished T9 at Muirfield Village last week and also finished T10 at this event last season. 

Some other headliners include an in-form Tyrrell Hatton (+1,200) and Sam Burns (+1,400). Hatton is on a run of five straight Top 20s but did miss the cut here a year ago. Burns, meanwhile, has been solid since his win at the Match Play, finished T16 last week, and scored a T4 finish here a year ago. 

Corey Conners (+1,800) leads the pack of Canadians in the field this week, while notables Adam Hadwin (50/1), Nick Taylor (66/1), Adam Svenson (66/1), and Mackenzie Hughes (90/1) sit much further down the board.

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RBC Canadian Open recent winners and odds history

Let's take a look at some recent RBC Canadian Open winners and their closing odds to win:

Year Golfer Closing odds
2022 Rory McIlroy +900
2021 No event: COVID-19 related. N/A
2020 No event: COVID-19 related. N/A
2019 Rory McIlroy +1,000
2018 Dustin Johnson +550
2017 Jhonattan Vegas N/A
2016 Jhonattan Vegas +8,000
2015 Jason Day +800

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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