Red Wings vs Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Parker's prediction: Linus Ullmark will have to stand on his head tonight.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Feb 26, 2026 • 13:50 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 3 hrs
DET
54 %
OTT
46 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Linus Ullmark o22.5  Total Saves (-110) Linus Ullmark o22.5 Total Saves (-110)
Read Analysis
Ottawa Senators goaltender Linus Ullmark.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ottawa Senators goaltender Linus Ullmark.

The Ottawa Senators return to action this evening as they play host to the Detroit Red Wings at the Canadian Tire Centre.

Ottawa has work to do to climb the standings, and my Red Wings vs. Senators predictions expect netminder Linus Ullmark to turn away his fair share of rubber.

Read more in my NHL picks for Thursday, February 26.

Red Wings vs Senators prediction

Red Wings vs Senators best bet: Linus Ullmark Over 22.5 saves (-110)

Coming out of the Olympic break, this looks like a busy evening for Ottawa Senators goaltender Linus Ullmark.

The Detroit Red Wings average 28.4 shots per game, while Ullmark has been strong at home, posting a .908 save percentage and a 2.37 GAA across 13 starts.

With both teams returning from a multi-week layoff, expect looser defense and a barrage of shots headed Ullmark’s way tonight. 

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Red Wings vs Senators same-game parlay

In addition to Ullmark’s strong numbers at home, the Senators are tough defensively at the Canadian Tire Centre, allowing the fewest expected goals against per 60 minutes at five-on-five.

Detroit ranks 23rd in goals per road game, averaging just 2.86.

Looking at Ottawa defenseman Thomas Chabot, he’s recorded two or more shots in 11 of his past 15 games, totaling 31 shots on 63 attempts, while logging a solid 21:09 of ice time per game.

Red Wings vs Senators SGP

  • Under 5.5
  • Linus Ullmark Over 22.5 saves
  • Thomas Chabot Over 1.5 shots

Red Wings vs Senators odds

  • Moneyline: Red Wings +135 | Senators -155
  • Puck Line: Red Wings +1.5 (-180) | Senators -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+110)

Red Wings vs Senators trend

Detroit has only hit the Over in nine of its last 25 games (-6.80 Units / -25% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Red Wings vs. Senators.

How to watch Red Wings vs Senators

Location Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
Date Thursday, February 26, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN DET, TSN5

Red Wings vs Senators latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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