Oilers vs Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Jeff Skinner will make the most of his time alongside Connor McDavid and Zach Hyman by ripping shots on the Islanders' net. We like the Oilers forward to clear his 2.5 shots prop with relative ease tonight.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2024 • 10:16 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Jeff Skinner Edmonton Oilers NHL
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The Edmonton Oilers are coming off a commanding 7-3 win over the Vancouver Canucks and will look to keep the good times rolling against the visiting New York Islanders at Rogers Place on Tuesday, November 12.

New York is riddled with injuries and has been run over in the possession game while giving up plenty of shots this month, and our top Oilers vs. Islanders predictions are calling for Edmonton winger Jeff Skinner to fill up the shots column.

I go deeper on Skinner's game below in my NHL picks.

Oilers vs Islanders prediction

My Oilers pick
Jeff Skinner Over 2.5 shots (-110 at BET99)

My Oilers analysis

Edmonton Oilers winger Jeff Skinner paces the club in both shots (12.21) and attempts (20.82) per 60 minutes, and his respective 12.02 and 20.73 marks also lead the way at 5-on-5.

Skinner has bounced around the Edmonton lineup, but he’s set to skate on the No. 1 line with Connor McDavid and Zach Hyman against the New York Islanders on Tuesday. It’s been an obvious plus for Skinner’s possession numbers playing with McDavid, too.

The duo has been on the ice for a 57.9 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5, and Skinner sports a 54.2 CF% at 5-on-5 without the superstar center. Also, while there’s no guarantee Skinner sticks with McDavid and Hyman throughout Tuesday’s contest, it does position the first-year Oiler for an early uptick in ice time skating on the top line. 

Skinner averaged 14:33 of ice time per game before playing just 12:17 Sunday against the Vancouver Canucks.

I’m also not concerned with the matchup against the Islanders. New York has multiple regulars out of the lineup, including three of their top-six defensemen and go-to-scorer Mathew Barzal. The Islanders have also lost the possession battle in four of five games with Barzal out of action for a 24th-ranked 46.3 CF% at 5-on-5 while also allowing the third-most shots per night (34.6).

Finally, I also value Skinner’s shot and attempts skyrocketing on home ice.

Home Away
Shots per 60 14.54 9.54
Attempts per 60 23.89 17.29
Shots per game 3.5 2.28
Attempts per game 5.75 4.14

Oilers vs Islanders same-game parlay (SGP)

Oilers -1.5 puck line

Under 6.5 goals

Jeff Skinner Over 2.5 shots

Edmonton breaking out for seven goals during Sunday’s win over Vancouver was a long time in the making because the Oilers still have significant statistical correction ahead of their 28th-ranked 6.9 team shooting percentage at 5-on-5. The Oil have also scored the 11-fewest goals per 60 (2.29) at 5-on-5 despite generating the fifth most (2.96).

Add a 24th-ranked 15.8 power-play percentage that’s also set for positive regression considering the Oil posted a fourth-ranked 26.3% mark last year, and things are looking up for the Edmonton offense..

Still, another seven-goal outburst probably won’t be in the cards. Even with the Islanders noted recent struggles they’ve allowed the fifth-fewest goals (1.85) and expected goals (2.26) per 60 while also receiving excellent goaltending with a .933 team save percentage at 5-on-5.

On the flip side, New York has scored the eighth-fewest goals (2.09) and generated a middling 2.51 per 60 at 5-on-5.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Oilers vs Islanders odds

Oilers vs Islanders live odds

Oilers vs Islanders opening odds

  • Puck line: Edmonton -1.5 (+125) | New York +1.5 (-150)
  • Moneyline: Edmonton -200 | New York +165
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-130) | Under 6 (+100)

Odds courtesy of BET99

Oilers vs Islanders trend

Edmonton Oilers winger Jeff Skinner has recorded three or more shots in 10 of 15 games, including six of eight at Rogers Place. Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Islanders.

How to watch Oilers vs Islanders

Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Date: Tuesday, 11-12-2024
Puck drop: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet West

Oilers vs Islanders latest injuries

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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