Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Friday's NHL Playoffs Game 3

Luc LeBlanc - Betting Editor at Covers.com
Luc LeBlanc • Content Editor 3+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 23, 2026 , 04:00 PM ET • 3 min read

The Tampa Bay Lightning have done a good job of keeping Cole Caufield from scoring, but he's found other ways to help his team.

NHL

Match starts: 25 hrs
TB
35 %
MON
65 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Josh Anderson o0.5  Goals Scored (+450) Josh Anderson o0.5 Goals Scored (+450)
Read Analysis
Cole Caufield (13) skates against the New Jersey Devils.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cole Caufield (13) skates against the New Jersey Devils.

The Montreal Canadiens return north of the 49th parallel to host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Friday, April 24.

My Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions and NHL picks (unsurprisingly) suggest another nail-biter, with Cole Caufield poised to dish the puck as opposed to his usual antics filling nets himself.

Lightning vs Canadiens Game 3 prediction

Lightning vs Canadiens best bet: Cole Caufield Over 0.5 assists (+130)

The Tampa Bay Lightning have a game plan for Cole Caufield, limiting the 51-goal scorer to just three shots through two games.

Fortunately, Caufield and his overshadowed vision have produced three assists in the meantime. Tampa's game plan to limit his scoring opportunities has created an abundance of passing options for the winger.

With Tampa suppressing his scoring opportunities, it's opened passing lanes and high-danger chances for his linemates (see Juraj Slafkovsky's Game 1 hat trick). At plus odds, I'm banking on a Caufield helper in Game 3.

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Lightning vs Canadiens Game 3 same-game parlay

Many may be surprised Lane Hutson blocked 137 shots in his sophomore season. While his offensive numbers may be better suited for a flashy stat or a viral tweet, he's stepped up big in his own zone as Noah Dobson remains sidelined.

Hutson played over 32 minutes in Game 2, blocked two shots, and ranks third in the NHL in blocked shots over the last calendar month. He's a workhorse at both ends of the ice.

Both games in this series thus far have needed extra time, and the Montreal Canadiens have covered the puck line in five straight against Tampa — with four of them coming within the last month.

More convincingly, they've covered the PL in 10 of Jakub Dobe's last 11 starts.

Lightning vs Canadiens SGP

  • Cole Caufield Over 0.5 assists
  • Lane Hutson Over 1.5 blocked shots
  • Canadiens +1.5

Lightning vs Canadiens Game 3 goal scorer pick

Josh Anderson (+450)

Josh Anderson has scored in three of his last four playoff games against Tampa, including in both games in this series and dating back to the 2021 Stanley Cup Final.

He's scored in three of his last four and had his highest single-game shot total since March 3 in Game 2. I'm all over this at a whopping +450.

Lightning vs Canadiens odds for Game 3

  • Moneyline: Lightning -120 | Canadiens +100
  • Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+205) | Canadiens +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+120)

Lightning vs Canadiens trend

Three of the last five meetings between these teams have required extra time, including both playoff games thus far. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Canadiens.

How to watch Lightning vs Canadiens Game 3

Location Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date Friday, April 24, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet, TNT

Lightning vs Canadiens latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Luc LeBlanc
Content Editor

Luc has been passionate about sports since he was a child, playing competitive hockey and staying closely tuned to professional leagues. Today, he brings that same energy to his work as a Content Editor, covering NHL games, player props, and betting trends with a sharp, analytical eye.

Since 2023, Luc has been writing picks and analysis for various publications, helping readers discover value in several major sports. While hockey is his specialty, he also closely follows tennis, keeping up with both the ATP and WTA Tours.

A graduate of Saint Mary’s University (BSc, Geography, 2025), Luc approaches sports betting the way he approaches maps and statistics by looking for patterns, trends, and angles that give him an edge. He focuses on research-backed and well-informed picks, spotting correlations, and finding the best opportunities in player props and game markets.

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