Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's NHL Playoffs Game 3

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 22, 2026 , 04:00 PM ET • 3 min read

Parker's predictions: Carolina becomes latest team to scuffle at Canadian Tire Centre.

NHL

Match starts: 26 hrs
CAR
38 %
OTT
62 %
Read Analysis
Ottawa Senators NHL goalie Linus Ullmark.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ottawa Senators goalie Linus Ullmark.

The Carolina Hurricanes take a 2-0 series lead into the Canadian Tire Centre to face the Ottawa Senators in Game 3 on Thursday, April 23.

My top Hurricanes vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks are calling for Ottawa to take down Game 3, thanks in large part to another standout showing from Linus Ullmark.

Hurricanes vs Senators Game 3 prediction

Hurricanes vs Senators best bet: Linus Ullmark Over 25.5 saves (-130)

Ottawa Senators No. 1 Linus Ullmark has a .917 SV% with 12.34 goals saved above expected across his past 11 starts.

The Carolina Hurricanes have peppered him with 29.24 shots per 60 minutes, and considering they finished the regular season ranked second in shots per game (31.5) and first in Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5 on the highway, I’m confident Ullmark will see the necessary rubber to clear this number.

It’s also important to highlight Carolina finished second in long-range shots, and it's also attempted 70.5 shots per 60 at 5-on-5 against the Sens to start the series.

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Hurricanes vs Senators Game 3 same-game parlay

The Senators went 9-1-1 on home ice to close out the regular season and allowed the fourth-fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 for the year, so with Ullmark also in top form, I expect the Sens to lead the way in keeping this total Under the number. 

The final leg of this same-game parlay turns to Ottawa defenseman Thomas Chabot. He’s turned his 12 shot attempts into just two shots through the first two games of the series. Count on a better conversion rate tonight from the blueliner.

Hurricanes vs Senators SGP

  • Senators moneyline
  • Under 5.5
  • Thomas Chabot Over 1.5 shots

Hurricanes vs Senators Game 3 goal scorer pick

Tim Stutzle (+195)

I think there’s a bit of a disconnect between the underlying numbers for Sens star Tim Stutzle and how dangerous he’s actually been on the ice.

While he’s generated just 0.86 individual expected goals on six shots and four individual high-danger scoring chances during the series, he’s done everything but find the back of the net with multiple missed Grade-A chances in both games.

Stutzle finally capitalizes with a goal in Game 3.

Hurricanes vs Senators odds for Game 3

  • Moneyline: Hurricanes -105 | Senators -115
  • Puck Line: Hurricanes +1.5 (-245) | Senators -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-125) | Under 5.5 (+105)

Hurricanes vs Senators trend

The Ottawa Senators have won nine of their last 11 games at home (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Hurricanes vs. Senators.

How to watch Hurricanes vs Senators Game 3

Location Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
Date Thursday, April 23, 2026
Puck drop 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet

Hurricanes vs Senators latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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