Now that the squirliest hockey day of the week is over, it's time to lock into Monday's three-game slate and find some NHL picks, props, and stacks.
Tye Kartye's new offensive role is not priced in; there are going to be goals in Vancouver, and the Islanders' offense is being slept on. These are my favorite NHL predictions for Monday, November 9.
Today's top NHL predictions
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Tye Kartye Over 0.5 points |
43% |
  Martone/Michkov + Boeser/Pettersson Over 0.5 points |
15% |
 Victor Eklund + Brayden Schenn Over 0.5 points |
33% |
Percentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Pick #1: Tye Kartye Over 0.5 points
Tye Kartye has been one of the bright spots for the Rangers this season as his offensive role continues to grow. He was playing 13-15 minutes per game earlier in the season but is now up to 20 minutes, with points in three straight games and six of his last eight. He may be on PP2, but the Rangers have been giving that unit 45% of the power-play ice time lately.
Anything at even money or better is great value for a solo point prop on the New York forward, who skates on the second line and PP2 alongside JT Miller and Oliver Bjorkstrand. Before locking in the prop, see how the full matchup shapes up in our Rangers vs. Oilers predictions. If Kartye finds the scoresheet again today, his point price could be closer to 50% in his next outing.
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Oilers
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
- TV: SN+
Pick #2: Martone/Michkov + Boeser/Pettersson Over 0.5 points
Porter Martone and Matvei Michkov failed us yesterday, but the Flyers offense showed some life, and the duo saw a bump in ice time. The Canucks are a laughingstock, allowing 4.58 goals per game while sporting the second-worst penalty kill in hockey. I'm expecting the Flyers to put up 3+ goals today, so it's worth checking our Flyers vs. Canucks predictions before building a stack.
Vancouver isn't exactly allergic to scoring, and Elias Pettersson and Brock Boeser are both 20+ minute skaters with the biggest offensive roles on the team. The Flyers are a great matchup, ranking 30th in xGoal%, and they're playing the second half of a back-to-back.
- Matchup: Flyers vs. Canucks
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC
- TV: SN+
Pick #3: Victor Eklund + Brayden Schenn Over 0.5 points each
The Islanders' offense is in much better shape than San Jose's, as New York has scored 3+ goals in five of its last six games and seven of its last nine. The Sharks have managed just 11 goals over their last seven games, and the Islanders have won five straight meetings with them, a trend noted in our Islanders vs. Sharks predictions. The visitors are the offense to back on Monday, and I'm stacking the second line, which also offers power-play correlation.
Victor Eklund and Brayden Schenn have recorded points together in back-to-back games, and this matchup might be the best they've seen in over two weeks. The Sharks rank 29th in xGoal% and are even worse in actual Goal%, sitting 31st. They also rank dead last in expected goals against per 60 minutes at all strengths. Stacking this second line at 3x or better is my favourite angle for the nightcap.
- Matchup: Islanders vs. Sharks
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: SAP Center, San Jose, Calif.
- TV: MSGSN
- Top picks: 35-42, +3.75 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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