Sundays are the odd day in the NHL, and I like to be a little more conservative and pick my spots rather than spray the board like usual with my NHL picks.
Connor McDavid's multi-point price is a confident buy, the Anaheim offense will find its way again, and the double-double in the nightcap is a great way to cap off the week.
These are my favorite NHL predictions for Sunday, Nov. 15.
Today's top NHL predictions
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Connor McDavid Over 1.5 points |
51% |
 Mikael Granlund Over 0.5 assists |
49% |
  Pettersson/Boeser/Hertl/Olofsson Over 0.5 points each |
16% |
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Pick #1: Connor McDavid Over 1.5 points
This is one of the best Over 1.5-point prices we've seen on Connor McDavid all season, and it comes against the Flyers. I'd play it to 55%.
The price is inflated because Edmonton is playing the second half of a back-to-back, but Philadelphia also played the Blue Jackets in Columbus last night, making it an even matchup.
McDavid has recorded just one point in three straight games, but he's had multiple points in 12 of 21 games this season and is averaging 2.38 points per game, putting him on pace for 200.
Wayne Gretzky holds the NHL record with 215 points in a season, set in 1985-86, so McDavid has added motivation as he chases history.
The Flyers rank 30th in 5-on-5 expected goal share (xGoal%), making this an elite matchup for the Oilers superstar.
- Matchup: Oilers vs. Flyers
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- TV: SN
Pick #2: Mikael Granlund Over 0.5 assists
The Calgary Flames are an elite matchup at home, with the league's worst offense and ninth-worst goals-against average (GAA).
Both teams are playing the second half of a back-to-back, but Mikael Granlund at 53% or better for an assist is better priced than the Granlund/Beckett Sennecke point stack.
Granlund and Sennecke are playing together, and I wouldn't be surprised if Anaheim reunited Cutter Gauthier with the pair after Troy Terry's return led to some line juggling.
The Ducks' offense had an eight-game stretch with at least five goals and could hit that mark again against an easy home matchup. Calgary ranks 27th in 5-on-5 expected goal share (xGoal%), making this a favorable spot for Anaheim.
- Matchup: Flames vs. Ducks
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, Calif.
- TV: SN1
Pick #3: Pettersson/Boeser/Hertl/Olofsson Over 0.5 points each
The Canucks are beyond awful, but the Brock Boeser/Elias Pettersson stack has been good to us this season. Boeser has points in 12 of his last 14 games, while Pettersson has points in 10 of his last 12.
What's impressive is they're producing despite the Canucks scoring just 14 goals during their current seven-game losing streak.
On the Vegas side, Tomas Hertl and Victor Olofsson are both playing 16+ minutes per game and correlate on the top power-play unit. That's key against a Vancouver team with the league's worst penalty kill, which has also allowed a power-play goal in six straight games.
This is a great 6.25x bet to keep an eye on during SNF, and I'd play it down to 5.5x.
- Matchup: Canucks vs. Golden Knights
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
- TV: Sportsnet Pacific
- Top picks: 39-49 +1.3 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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