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Avalanche vs Oilers Game 4 Picks and Predictions: Doom & Broom for Edmonton

The Colorado Avalanche are a win away from returning to the Stanley Cup Finals for the first time since 2001. With the season on the line, and plenty of work to do, we don't like the Edmonton Oilers' chances, but that doesn't mean it'll be low-scoring.

Last Updated: Jun 6, 2022 4:15 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Gabriel Landeskog Mikko Rantanen Colorado Avalanche NHL Playoffs
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Avalanche are on the verge of their first Stanley Cup Final appearance since 2001, having jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference Final over the Edmonton Oilers. They’ll try to complete the sweep at Rogers Place in Game 4 tonight. 

Can Connor McDavid & Co. find a way to get back into this series? Find out in our free NHL picks and predictions for Avalanche vs Oilers on Monday, June 6.

Avalanche vs Oilers Game 4 odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Avalanche unsurprisingly opened as -119 favorites for Game 4, and betting action has seen them climb to the -130 range at most sites. The consensus total was listed at 7.0, and while some books have held to that number as of this writing with a large vig on the Under, others have moved to 6.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Avalanche vs Oilers Game 4 predictions

Predictions made on 6/5/2022 at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Avalanche vs Oilers Game 4 info

Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Date: Monday, June 6, 2022
Puck drop: 8:00 p.m. ET

Avalanche vs Oilers series odds

Avalanche: -5,000.
Oilers: +2,000.

Avalanche vs Oilers Game 4 betting preview

Key injuries

Avalanche: Andre Burakovsky LW (Questionable), Nazem Kadri C (Out), Darcy Kuemper G (Questionable), Samuel Girard D (Out).
Oilers: Evander Kane LW (Out), Kailer Yamamoto RW (Questionable), Kyle Turris C (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Avalanche vs Oilers head-to-head record (last 10 games)

Avalanche: 7-3-0, 40 goals for.
Oilers: 3-5-2, 32 goals for.

Betting trend to know

The Avalanche are 46-10 in their last 56 games when their opponent scores two or fewer goals in their previous game. Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Oilers.

Avalanche vs Oilers Game 4 picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Avalanche shouldn’t waste any time in eliminating the Oilers and making their way to the Stanley Cup Final.

The Avs have won each of their last six road games, including Saturday night’s 4-2 triumph in Edmonton. They ran their record to 6-1 against the Oilers in their last seven meetings with the victory. 

Colorado, as usual, has gotten contributions up and down its roster, with five players scoring at least four points in this series alone. Mikko Rantanen has been at the forefront of the Avs' attack, notching a goal in each of the first three games of the Western Conference Final while adding two assists for good measure.

The Avalanche defense has also played a major role in giving its team a 3-0 series lead. After surrendering six goals in Game 1, Colorado has allowed just two total over Games 2 and 3. Pavel Francouz has effectively relieved the injured Darcy Kuemper in net for Colorado, recording a 24-save shutout in Game 2, and allowing only two goals on 29 shots in Game 3. 

Trend bettors should be unafraid to hitch their wagon to the Avs on Monday, as the betting favorite has won each of the last nine meetings between these two teams. Additionally, the Oilers are 20-43 in their last 63 games as a home underdog. 

Prediction: Avalanche moneyline (-125 at BetMGM)

Over/Under analysis

Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have been kept in check by the Colorado defense over the last six periods of play, but they are each due for a dramatically-improved effort in Game 4. That should drive this game Over the total rather easily.

McDavid had a goal and two assists in Game 1, then recorded only one goal and no assists in Games 2 and 3 combined. The Oilers captain is the current NHL leader in postseason points with 30, so it would be a mild surprise if he doesn’t record a multi-point game with Edmonton’s season on the line.

Draisaitl has gone six games without a goal dating back to his team’s series with the Calgary Flames. After tallying two assists in Game 1 against the Avalanche, he’s been held off the scoresheet in two straight. That also seems due to change in Game 4.

Meanwhile, Oilers goalie Mike Smith and his defense have not demonstrated the aptitude to keep Nathan MacKinnon & Co. down. Smith sports a 5.39 GAA and a .879 save percentage through three games. 

The Over is 4-1 in the Oilers’ last five playoff games as an underdog, and 17-8 in their last 25 home games. The total has been exceeded in four of the Avs’ last five road games.

Prediction: Over 6.5 (-135 at WynnBET)

Best bet

Bettors should anticipate McDavid and Draisaitl to bounce back in Game 4, but that doesn’t mean it will be enough to overcome Colorado’s mighty offense. 

MacKinnon and Cale Makar are leading the Avs in scoring this postseason, producing 17 points apiece. Rantanen has gathered 16 points, and captain Gabriel Landeskog has 14, tied for fourth with Nazem Kadri.

Though Kadri has been ruled out for the rest of the series due to an upper-body injury, Edmonton has lost Evander Kane to a one-game suspension for the boarding penalty that caused that harm.

Colorado is clearly the more balanced team, as their offense never gives the Oilers’ stoppers a chance to breathe. They should seal the sweep on Monday night.

Pick: Over 6.5 (-135 at WynnBET)


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