Avalanche vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 4

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 26, 2026 , 05:54 PM ET • 3 min read

Cart Hart leads Vegas to series sweep in low-scoring Game 4 win.

NHL

Match starts: 1 hrs
COL
43 %
VEG
57 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u6.5 (-125)
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Vegas Golden Knights goaltender Carter Hart (79) warms up.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Vegas Golden Knights goaltender Carter Hart (79) warms up.
  • UPDATE: Added a +215 anytime goal scorer pick & who will win prediction!

The Colorado Avalanche will look to stave off elimination with a road win over the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 tonight.

My top Avalanche vs. Golden Knights predictions and NHL picks call for just the opposite, with Vegas goalie Carter Hart doing the heavy lifting to sweep Colorado with a low-scoring win on Tuesday, May 26.

Puck drop is set for 9 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with the game airing on ESPN and Sportsnet.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 4 prediction

Who will win Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 4?

Vegas Golden Knights: There has been no comparison between the two goalies through the first three games of the Western Conference Final.

Vegas starter Carter Hart sports a .942 save percentage with 3.74 goals saved above expected, while Colorado backup Mackenzie Blackwood is getting the start after last allowing three goals on 13 shots in Game 5 against Minnesota.

I’ll back Vegas with the superior play between the pipes, while Colorado stars Nathan MacKinnon (lower body), Cale Makar (upper body), and Valeri Nichushkin (lower body) are all dealing with injuries.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights best bet: Under 6.5 (-125)

I recommend the Under 6.5 to -130.

The Colorado Avalanche have lost the overall expected goals battle (46.9%). Vegas Golden Knights goalie Carter Hart has been lights-out with a .942 SV% and 4.57 goals saved above expected during the series. 

Colorado has only scored four times at 5-on-5, and go-to scorers Nathan MacKinnon (lower body) and Valeri Nichushkin (lower body) are going to be hard to rely on after both missed today’s morning skate. Star defenseman Cale Makar is likely at less than 100%, too.

Vegas is allowing the lowest projected goal rate against this postseason, buying into head coach John Tortorella’s defensive system.

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Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 4 same-game parlay

Hart’s highlighted excellent play alongside the highlighted postseason-best defense from Vegas pave the way for the Golden Knights pulling off the sweep.

Turning to star center Jack Eichel, he’s recorded three or more shots in eight of 15 postseason games for a rock-solid 7.35 shots per 60 minutes, in addition to a 51.8% shot share at 5-on-5. He’s also ripe for statistical correction in the shots column after converting just three of his 11 attempts into shots (27.3%) the past two games.

Eichel converted 54.3% of his attempts into shots through the first 13 games of the postseason, after all.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights SGP

  • Golden Knights moneyline
  • Carter Hart Over 28.5 saves
  • Jack Eichel Over 2.5 shots

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 4 goal scorer pick

Mitch Marner (+215)

Golden Knights winger Mitch Marner paces the club in individual expected goals and shot attempts through the first three games of the series without finding the back of the net, and his four high-danger scoring chances are also tied for the team-high mark.

Add Marner leading Vegas forwards in ice time while also skating with the No. 1 power-play unit, and he’s a prime candidate to score in Game 4. I’d play this prop to -190.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights odds for Game 4

  • Moneyline: Avalanche -115 | Golden Knights -105
  • Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+210) | Golden Knights +1.5 (-270)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+105) | Under 6.5 (-125)

Avalanche vs Golden Knights trend

Colorado has hit the Under in 15 of its last 25 road games (+6.70 Units / 25% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 4

Location T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, NV
Date Tuesday, May 26, 2026
Puck drop 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN, Sportsnet

Avalanche vs Golden Knights latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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