The 3-4 Minnesota Vikings head to Ford Field to face the Detroit Lions as both teams look to add to their win totals in a surprisingly competitive NFC North.
Fresh off a bye, the Lions get the advantages of rest and home-field. The Vikings will welcome JJ McCarthy back at QB for the first time since he was injured in Week 2.
Here are my best Vikings vs Lions anytime touchdown picks for Sunday, November 2.
For more NFL picks, check out our full Vikings vs. Lions predictions!
Vikings anytime touchdown pick
Justin Jefferson (+170 at FanDuel)
He’s got to hit paydirt sooner or later, right?
Justin Jefferson leads the Minnesota Vikings in targets (63), receptions (41), and receiving yards (602), yet he’s found the endzone just one time this season.
Among 14 players with at least 63 targets, Jefferson is the only one without multiple scores. He’s fifth in the league in receiving yards and has scored the fewest touchdowns among the others in the top-5.
Fortunately for Jefferson, his only touchdown of the season came in Week 1 with JJ McCarthy under center. Over the first two games of the season with McCarthy, Jefferson went for 7/125/1 on 13 targets.
He’s due for positive touchdown regression, and Sunday’s divisional tilt offers a great opportunity for that. McCarthy should be fired up in his first game back and his return to Michigan, where he found a ton of success in college.
Lions anytime touchdown pick
Jameson Williams (+190 at FanDuel)
Jahmyr Gibbs’ odds of scoring are -200, David Montgomery’s are -135, and Amon-Ra St. Brown’s are -115.
I’m not a fan of any of those odds, but Jameson Williams isn’t getting picked here just because of his longer odds. There is a method to this madness, and fortunately, it comes with +190 odds.
Williams is sixth in the NFL in average depth of target (aDOT) at 17, and his 17 yards per reception ranks fifth. He’s gone for 17/289/2 this season, continuing to operate as a deep-threat option for a team that excels in running the ball and completing quick passes.
Minnesota’s passing defense got shredded for 37 points by the Chargers last week, giving up two passes of at least 25 yards, including a 27-yard strike to Ladd McConkey.
Two weeks ago, Minnesota surrendered three 25+ yard catches to AJ Brown and a 79-yard scoring strike to DeVonta Smith.
The Vikings are vulnerable over the top, and Williams thrives on the deep ball. He’s in a great spot to find the end zone.
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