The New England Patriots once again have Mother Nature on their side when hosting the Houston Texans in the NFL Divisional Round.
With the elements set to affect Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud and the NFL odds, here is my full Texans vs. Patriots weather report for Sunday, January 18, with kickoff set for 3:00 p.m. ET.
Texans vs Patriots weather forecast
Temperatures in Foxborough will be in the mid-30s with lighter winds, making it “feel like” 27 degrees.
Sustained breezes of 7 mph NW could get up to gusts of 17 mph, blowing sideline to sideline at Gillette Stadium.
One weather model shows a threat of snow showers beginning around 4 p.m. ET and continuing through Sunday’s game, with a 42% chance of precipitation. Other forecasts, however, call for a much lower likelihood of that winter mix.
How Texans vs Patriots weather impacts the odds
Snow showers are a factor to monitor as we get closer to the weekend. A clear forecast would have minimal impact, at least for a visiting team accustomed to colder climates.
The Houston Texans, however, struggle offensively outdoors and on the road. They managed a cold, outdoor game at Pittsburgh in the Wild Card Round, but nearly half of the team’s points came via defensive touchdowns.
Over his career, C.J. Stroud’s completion percentage, yards per attempt, and passer rating all take a notable hit in open-air venues. He had mixed results in Monday’s game, struggling in the first half before making some plays in the final 30 minutes.
Meanwhile, the New England Patriots provide one of the league’s better pass defenses, regardless of environment. The Pats rank 10th in EPA allowed per dropback and excel at limiting explosive passing plays.
That could make moving the chains difficult for Stroud and Houston’s passing attack, especially with No. 1 receiver Nico Collins doubtful with a concussion heading into the Divisional Round.
Texans vs Patriots player props to watch
I like the Under in this game, but even more, I like Houston to stay under its team total of 19.5 points.
Stroud struggles in outdoor venues and will be without Collins. New England keeps everything in front of it, and this could turn into a ground-heavy game that limits big gains and keeps the clock running.
The Texans average less than 20 points on the road, and surpassing that mark against the Patriots in these conditions will be very difficult.
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
