Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Early Odds: NFL Week 3

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 21, 2026 , 10:38 AM ET • 4 min read

Ravens and Cowboys put on an offensive showcase in Rio De Janeiro.

Baltimore Ravens, Lamar Jackson, NFL, Derrick Henry
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson hands off the ball to running back Derrick Henry at M&T Bank Stadium.

The Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys head south for a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff at Maracana Stadium in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, on Sunday, Sept. 27.

My early Ravens vs. Cowboys prediction and NFL picks expect a high-scoring bout between the two potent offenses in Week 3.

Ravens vs Cowboys predictions

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
Cowboys +2.5 47%
Over 52.5 51%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Early Ravens vs Cowboys spread pick: Cowboys +2.5

Kalshi probability: 47%

This pair of 1-1 teams has shown mixed results matching their records, with the Dallas Cowboys winning comfortably at home in Week 2, while the Baltimore Ravens blew a 17-9 home lead to the New Orleans Saints on Sunday.

Look-ahead lines have hovered between Baltimore -2.5 and -3.5, so this early spread hasn’t been adjusted significantly following Week 2.

As a result, my early lean is to take the points because the Ravens are still in transition mode with first-year head coach Jesse Minter and defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver.

Baltimore allowed Saints quarterback Tyler Shough to throw for 7.4 yards per attempt with a 79.4 completion percentage in Week 2, so I’m confident Cowboys QB Dak Prescott can hang enough points on the board to keep pace Sunday. 

Prescott is second in success rate ahead of Monday Night Football in Week 2, after all.

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Early Ravens vs Cowboys total pick: Over 52.5

Kalshi probability: 51%

This total is too low.

The Dallas offense ranks fourth in both EPA per play and offensive success rate, and Baltimore checks in sixth and third in the two highlighted metrics, respectively.

I also have no confidence in consistent stops from the Dallas defense, and the Cowboys' pass rush is a major concern after registering just a pair of sacks through two games. 

Of course, Dallas has also surrendered the second-highest EPA per dropback and third-highest offensive success rate to start the year, so Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (10.0 YPA and 10.9 aDoT) and running back Derrick Henry (5.3 rushing yards per carry) are going to have their say Sunday, too.

I expect this number to climb leading into Sunday.

Ravens vs Cowboys odds

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Ravens vs Cowboys spread: Ravens -2.5
  • Ravens vs Cowboys moneyline: Ravens 58%, Cowboys 42%
  • Ravens vs Cowboys Over/Under: 52.5

How to watch Ravens vs Cowboys

  • Date: Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • City: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
  • Venue: Maracana Stadium
  • TV: CBS

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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