My Rams vs. Falcons predictions believe Los Angeles has plenty to prove on Monday Night Football after a stunning Week 16 collapse last Thursday night. Standing in their way are the Falcons, who continue to play with pride despite being eliminated from the playoffs, as they enter off back-to-back wins.
Los Angeles heads into their penultimate game of the regular season as a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 49, despite the doubtful status of Davante Adams.
L.A. tight end Colby Parkinson headlines my NFL picks for December 29. Don't miss kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Rams vs Falcons prediction
Rams vs Falcons best bet: Colby Parkinson Over 33.5 receiving yards (-110)
The Los Angeles Rams were already leaning heavily on tight-end personnel, but the Davante Adams injury pushed that approach into overdrive. Adams has been a non-participant in estimated practices this week, making his availability for Monday night more doubtful than probable.
Last week, Sean McVay deployed three-tight-end sets on an eye-popping 61% of snaps. Colby Parkinson, Davis Allen, and Terrance Ferguson all played at least 65% of the snaps and combined for 13 targets on 51 dropbacks. That usage makes the entire group intriguing from a props standpoint, but Parkinson stands out.
He’s coming off a quiet outing that burned some bettors, which should help keep his number in check. THE BLITZ projects him for over 4.5 catches and 47 receiving yards, well above his current lines. Parkinson led all Rams in snap share at 85% and should remain heavily involved in another indoor, must-win spot.
Indoor environments boost passing volume and efficiency, and with the Rams clearly committed to featuring their tight ends, Parkinson’s role sets up well. The Over 33.5 receiving yards is my preferred look, and the Over 3.5 receptions at -120 is also very playable.
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Rams vs Falcons MNF same-game parlay
You can't go wrong backing any of the three Rams TEs at their current receptions/yardage props. The trio is going to see massive snap shares, and the position will likely see a third of the passes from Matthew Stafford.
McVay has talked about his advantage with extra tight ends on the field as it is tough for the defense to match, but the Adams injury (and Tyler Higbee) has turned the usage to 11.
Rams vs Falcons SGP
- Colby Parkinson Over 3.5 receptions
- Davis Allen Over 1.5 receptions
- Terrance Ferguson Over 1.5 receptions
Our big-ticket SGP: Tight End Tease
I'm beefing this up with a Parkinson touchdown and the Overs on all three TEs' yardage totals.
Parkinson was one of the most bet on NFL players last week on Thursday night to score, as he came into that game with six TDs over his previous six games. I think he gets back on the TD wagon this week indoors, especially if Adams is away to hog the red-zone targets.
Rams vs Falcons SGP
- Colby Parkinson anytime touchdown
- Colby Parkinson Over 33.5 receiving yards
- Terrance Ferguson Over 24.5 receiving yards
- Davis Allen Over 18.5 receiving yards
Rams vs Falcons odds
- Spread: Rams -7.5 (+100) | Falcons +7.5 (-120)
- Moneyline: Rams -350 | Falcons +275
- Over/Under: Over 49 (-110) | Under 49 (-110)
Rams vs Falcons game predictions
Rams vs Falcons moneyline prediction
The Rams might finish off some ML parlays for the week against an Atlanta team that is 2-4 SU at home. The Kirk Cousins primetime memes might be on full display Monday.
The Rams are still one of the best teams in football and had a 99% chance to win last week vs. Seattle. Bet on a great coach and outstanding QB with extra time to prep vs. a shallow offense.
Rams vs Falcons spread prediction
This was -8.5 on the lookahead and opened at 7.5 on Sunday. It has bounced between 7.5 and 8.5. The Rams are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 6-2 ATS on the road this year, including 4-1 ATS on the road at -5.5 or longer.
This team has won by a margin of 10 or more points in five of its eight road games. Atlanta will likely need to score 25+ points to cover this game.
Rams vs Falcons Over/Under prediction
I prefer to take the Rams team total Over than the full game total at 49.5, but Kirk Cousins has been capable of late with five passing TDs across his last two games, and getting Drake London back helps this offense that has very little WR depth.
Rams vs Falcons betting trend to know
The Rams are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games. Find more NFL betting trends for Rams vs. Falcons.
How to watch Rams vs Falcons
| Location | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Monday, December 29, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Learn how to live stream Rams vs. Falcons for free tonight.
Rams vs Falcons latest injuries
Will Davante Adams play tonight?
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Davante Adams is listed as doubtful for tonight’s matchup against the Falcons. Adams is currently recovering from a hamstring injury re-aggravated during the fourth quarter of the Rams' Week 15 victory over the Detroit Lions.
After sitting out last week’s overtime loss to the Seattle Seahawks, Adams did not participate in practice leading up to tonight's game. Head coach Sean McVay noted that while Adams is "making really good progress" and "champing at the bit" to return, he is unlikely to suit up in Atlanta. With the Rams (11-4) having already clinched a playoff berth but no longer able to win the NFC West, the team appears to be prioritizing Adams' health for the postseason.
If Adams is sidelined as expected, look for Puka Nacua to remain Stafford's primary target, alongside rookie Konata Mumpfield.
Rams vs Falcons weather
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More Rams vs Falcons picks from Covers
- Rams vs. Falcons props
- Rams vs. Falcons anytime touchdown scorer picks
- Rams vs. Falcons same-game parlay
- Rams vs. Falcons computer picks
- Matthew Stafford odds and projections
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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