Monday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 17 Player Prop Projections

The final score may not be close, but our NFL player prop projections expect some big games from star players on both sides.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Dec 29, 2025 • 09:59 ET • 4 min read
Rams vs Falcons computer picks Drake London
Photo By - Imagn Images. Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London (5) runs with the ball.

The Week 17 finale — and last Monday Night Football game of the regular season — will see a rather lopsided matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta Falcons.

Despite L.A. sitting as a touchdown favorite on the road, our NFL player prop projections have identified the best MNF props for tonight, including big plus-money alt-totals for Drake London, Kirk Cousins, and Matthew Stafford.

Rams vs Falcons computer picks for Monday Night Football

Rams Rams Falcons Falcons
Stafford o270.5 pass
-110
Cousins o225.5 pass
-110
Williams o11.5 rec
-110
Robinson u76.5 rush
-110
Nacua o108.5 rec
-110
London o66.5 rec
-110
Pitts o55.5 rec
-110
Parkinson o34.5 rec
-110
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Rams MNF computer picks

Matthew Stafford Over 270.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 311.38 yards

Stafford has topped this number in four of his last five games (including more than 800 yards in his last two games) and we're projecting him to go well Over his total again tonight.

Alternate-total bet
300+ yards (+180) - This number shows tremendous value.

Bet Stafford passing yards now at bet365!

Kyren Williams Over 11.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 14.93 yards

Our projections don't like the Over on Kyren's rushing yards, but they do like him to just finish beyond his receiving total.

Bet Williams receiving yards now at bet365!

Puka Nacua Over 108.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 119.44 yards

Puka is averaging 191 yards per game over the last three weeks — and we're expecting him to torch the Atlanta secondary tonight as well.

Bet Nacua receiving yards now at bet365!

Pitts Over 55.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 62.53 yards

Atlanta's TE has gone Over this number in four straight games (averaging 98.8 yards), and his projection has him finishing above his total tonight as well.

Bet Pitts receiving yards now at bet365!


More Monday Night Football picks from Covers


Falcons MNF computer picks

Kirk Cousins Over 225.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 276.81 yards

It might be mostly garbage time, but we're projecting "Kirko Chainz" to finish well beyond his yardage total for tonight.

Alternate-total bet
250+ yards (+170) - This price has incredible value.
275+ yards (+310) - Not quite as strong a value, but still phenomenal for a long-shot play.

Bet Cousins passing yards now at bet365!

Bijan Robinson Under 76.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 67.87 yards

Our projections foresee a quiet night for the star RB, with the Under projected on both Robinson's rushing and receiving totals.

Bet Robinson rushing yards now at bet365!

Drake London Over 66.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 94.42 yards

London has gone for 100+ yards in five of his last seven games, and we're projecting him to come close to that tonight, easily topping his yardage total.

Alternate-total bet
80+ yards (+155) - Another prop with massive value.
90+ yards (+235) - This price is just as good.

Bet London receiving yards now at bet365!

Colby Parkinson Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 47.21 yards

We're also projecting the Rams' TE to chip in tonight, going Over his posted total.

Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+122) - This total also has strong value.

Bet Parkinson receiving yards now at bet365!

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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