Two AFC teams scrambling for playoff positioning will battle this week on Sunday Night Football as the Baltimore Ravens will host the New England Patriots.
The best NFL betting sites have the Ravens as a -2.5 favorite. SNF props for Pats vs. Ravens are also available to bet on now.
Below, we will look at NFL player prop projections for all of the top offensive players in this key AFC matchup. The computer projects big nights from Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Stefon Diggs, and Hunter Henry.
Patriots vs Ravens computer picks for Sunday Night Football
 Patriots |
 Ravens |
|---|---|
| Maye Under 243.5 passing yards (-111) | Jackson Over 207.5 passing yards (-110) |
| Henderson Under 56.5 rushing yards (-109) | Henry Under 83.5 rushing yards (-110) |
| Diggs Over 40.5 receiving yards (-110) | Flowers Over 61.5 receiving yards (-114) |
| Henry Over 40.5 receiving yards (-110) | Andrews Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110) |
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Patriots SNF computer picks
Drake Maye Under 243.5 passing yards (-111)
Projection: 228.5 yards
Maye had his worst performance of the season last week against the Bills, finishing with a 62.8 passer rating. He threw for just 155 yards in the outing.
Baltimore’s defense has been better of late, as it has 13 takeaways since its bye week.
But, we’re talking passing yardage here.
Joe Burrow had just a 21.4 passer rating against the Ravens last week, but he still managed to finish with 225 yards passing. The week prior, Aaron Rodgers threw for 284 yards against the Baltimore D.
Baltimore has not faced a 2025-26 MVP candidate quarterback since Week 1, when Josh Allen threw for a whopping 394 yards against them.
I think Baltimore will limit Maye when it comes to TD passes and completion percentage, but I do think Maye will rack up yardage. I like the Over here, while the computer likes the Under.
TreVeyon Henderson Under 56.5 rushing yards (-109)
Projection: 54.7 yards
Henderson exploded for 148 yards rushing last week against the Bills and has eclipsed 62 yards rushing in each of his last five games.
He has established himself as the top RB in New England, after Rhamondre Stevenson held the top dog mantle earlier in the year.
That said, Baltimore’s defense has done an outstanding job on running backs as of late. Here are the totals for the last six running backs they’ve faced:
- Chase Brown: 53 yards
- Jaylen Warren: 13 yards
- Chase Brown: 78 yards
- Quinshon Judkins: 59 yards
- Breece Hall: 44 yards
- Aaron Jones: 47 yards
Baltimore will surely be keying on the rookie after his big game last week.
I’ll agree with the computer here and take the Henderson Under.
Stefon Diggs Over 40.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 43.1 receiving yards
Diggs has been incredibly quiet the past three games as he is averaging just 2.6 catches and just 24 yards receiving in that span.
This is a huge game for New England if it hopes to hold off the Bills for the AFC East crown, so I would expet Pats OC Josh McDaniels to have Diggs heavily involved in this game.
The Ravens defense is very much a bend-but-don’t-break unit. It is fine if you rack up yardage, so long as you don’t score.
Last week, Baltimore shut out the Bengals but Ja’Marr Chase still managed to post 132 yards receiving. The week prior, DK Metcalf had 148 yards receiving against the Ravens. And three weeks ago, Chase posted 110.
I like Diggs to get back on track here, yardage-wise. I’ll take the Over, and my computer pal will do the same.
Hunter Henry Over 40.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 42.4 yards
Henry has emerged as Maye’s security blanket this season, something the Ravens will be well aware of.
The Pats’ tight end has a really tough task this week, as he’ll be matched up with Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton early and often. Hamilton is widely regarded as the top safety in the NFL.
I’ll take the Under on Henry’s yardage here, while the computer will take the Over.
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Ravens SNF computer picks
Lamar Jackson Over 207.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 208.3 yards
The Patriots run defense got the headlines early in the season, but its pass defense has been stellar of late - at least in terms of giving up yardage.
Even last week, when the Bills dominated the second half against the Pats - New England held Josh Allen to just 193 yards passing. In the three weeks prior to the Bills game, the Pats held quarterbacks to an average of 146 yards passing per game.
Lamar has thrown for Under 200 yards in five of his last eight outings, and I think this Sunday night will make it six out of nine. The computer disagrees.
Derrick Henry Under 83.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 71.7 yards
Pats head coach Mike Vrabel knows what a force Henry can be, having coached him in Tennessee. Vrabel will be keying on Henry for sure, but the Pats might just not have the horses to keep up with the big back.
New England’s run defense was spectacular early in the season, but it has not been great since they lost Milton Williams to injury. In recent weeks, we’ve seen James Cook and Chase Brown run for over 100 yards against the New England D.
This is a high number, but I expect Henry to reach it. I’ll take the Henry Over, while the computer will take the Under.
Zay Flowers Over 61.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 70.1 yards
New England has been awfully lucky when it comes to having to face elite NFL receivers. In recent weeks, they faced the Giants (without Malik Nabers), the Bengals (without Ja’Marr Chase), the Jets (without Garrett Wilson), and the Buccaneers (without Mike Evans).
The last time they faced a top-flight WR, it came in Week 9 when Drake London had 9 catches for 118 yards.
Flowers has gone Over 61.5 yards receiving in 10-of-14 games so far this season.
Both the computer and I like the Over here.
Mark Andrews Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 34.1 yards
The Patriots haven’t let any tight ends humiliate them this season, but TEs have been able to rack up decent yardage against them - particularly recently.
Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid both went over 34 yards receiving last week.
A few weeks back, Mike Gesicki hit 35 yards receiving.
Andrews has been hard to trust this season, and has gone Over 31 yards receiving in a game just four times in the campaign. That said, I like this spot for the veteran.
I’ll agree with the computer and take the Over.
