Week 16 has arrived, and so have my Patriots vs. Ravens props for Sunday Night Football!
This week's edition of SNF promises to be a good one, and my trio of Patriots vs. Ravens predictions and NFL picks for December 21 highlight the best betting value on the board, anchored by a Mack Hollins prop.
Patriots vs Ravens SNF props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 TreVeyon Henderson |
Over 13.5 rushing attempts | +102 |
| Mack Hollins |
Over 34.5 receiving yards | -114 |
 Derrick Henry |
Anytime touchdown | -105 |
TreVeyon Henderson Over 13.5 rushing attempts (+102)
TreVeyon Henderson has taken over the No. 1 running back role with the New England Patriots over the incumbent Rhamondre Stevenson.
Henderson ran with the ball at least 14 times in three games with Stevenson injured, but Stevenson returned to the lineup three games ago, and has yet to see better than a 50/50 split of the carries with Henderson.
Henderson has 14+ carries in five of his last six overall, and I think there's tremendous value in backing him to reach this threshold again at plus-odds. I'm also sprinkling something on him to have 56 or more rushing yards, a bar he's gone Over in five straight.
Mack Hollins Over 34.5 receiving yards (-114)
There's no clear wide receiver No. 1 in the Patriots' pecking order, but I think Mack Hollins is seeing enough opportunity to justify grabbing his receiving yards Over on SNF.
Hollins has seen an average of 6.6 targets across his last five games, hauling in just below four passes per game in that span. The UNC product has gone for 35+ receiving yards in three of his last five, both overall and at home, and five of his last eight regardless of venue.
Hollins draws an enviable matchup with the Baltimore Ravens, who rank 24th in yards allowed per game to wideouts.
Derrick Henry anytime touchdown (-125)
I had to check this price three times to make sure my eyes weren't playing tricks on me.
Derrick Henry has routinely closed in the -200 range to score a touchdown this year, and now he's only -125? Sign me up.
This isn't just a blind "value play," however. While it's true Henry has gone two straight games without scoring, he also had a three-game TD streak before this current cold spell.
Henry has 10 TDs on the year, tied for fifth among all players in the league. He also faces a New England defense that isn't exactly a powerhouse vs. running backs.
The Patriots have allowed 100+ yards rushing in five straight games, most recently letting James Cook (22 carries, 107 yards, two touchdowns) walk all over them.
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Patriots vs Ravens SNF prop betting card
- Henderson o13.5 rushing attempts (+102)
- Hollins o34.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Henry anytime touchdown (-125)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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