Two NFC division leaders will clash this week on Sunday Night Football as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face the LA Rams at SoFi Stadium.
The Rams are a -7 spread favorite at the best NFL betting sites. There are also dozens of SNF props available to bet on.
Below, we will look at NFL player prop projections for all of the top offensive players in this showdown. Our computer projects big statistical nights from Emeka Egbuka, Matthew Stafford, Baker Mayfield, and Puka Nacua.
Buccaneers vs Rams computer picks for Sunday Night Football
 Buccaneers |
 Rams |
|---|---|
| Mayfield Over 235.5 passing yards (-115) | Stafford Over 247.5 passing yards (-114) |
| Tucker Over 43.5 rushing yards (-115) | Williams Under 61.5 rushing yards (-111) |
| Egbuka Over 63.5 receiving yards (-133) | Nacua Over 87.5 receiving yards (-114) |
| Otton Under 38.5 receiving yards (-110) | Williams Over 12.5 receiving yards (-120) |
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Buccaneers SNF computer picks
Baker Mayfield Over 235.5 passing yards (-115)
Projection: 264.6 yards
The Los Angeles Rams have a terrific bend-but-don’t-break defense. Finding the end zone against LA is difficult, as the Rams have allowed the second least amount of points in the NFL. But you can rack up yardage against them through the air.
LA is 21st in the league in passing yardage allowed.
Last week, the Rams humiliated Sam Darnold, as they picked him off four times and did not allow him to throw a TD. Still, Darnold managed to throw for 279 yards.
I think Baker Mayfield will endure a similarly rough game against LA, but still manage to hit this number.
I’ll agree with the computer out of the gate, and take the Over.
Sean Tucker Over 43.5 rushing yards (-115)
Projection: 54.6 yards
Sean Tucker busted out for 106 rushing yards last week against Buffalo. Can he do it again this week against a stout Rams rush defense?
I highly doubt it.
Last season, Tucker broke out for 136 rushing yards against New Orleans. The next weekend, he gained a meager 29 yards against Baltimore.
The Rams rank fourth in Def Rush DVOA, so this will be no picnic for Tucker.
I’ll go against the computer here and take the Under.
Emeka Egbuka Over 63.5 (-133)
Projection: 81.9 receiving yards
Last week, Seattle’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba totalled 105 yards receiving on nine catches against the Rams' defense.
Emeka Egbuka is a JSN clone, as he took over as Ohio State’s starting slot receiver when JSN entered the pros. Egbuka should get plenty of targets from Mayfield in this one.
I’ll agree with the computer and take the Over.
Cade Otton Under 38.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 35.1 yards
The Rams are on a five-game win streak, thanks in large part to their defense. LA has, however, allowed opposing tight ends to have strong outings against them recently.
Here are the performances of the last three tight ends that the Rams have faced:
- AJ Barner: 70 receiving yards
- George Kittle: 84 receiving yards
- Juwan Johnson: 31 receiving yards
Cade Otton, meanwhile, got off to a slow start this season in terms of receiving yardage, but has picked it up recently.
He has averaged 57.8 yards receiving in his last six games.
Getting to 39 yards receiving here is more than doable. I’ll go against the computer and take the Over.
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Rams SNF computer picks
Matthew Stafford Over 247.5 passing yards (-114)
Projection: 277.5 yards
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been one of the more injury-stricken teams in the NFL this season. Jamel Dean has been one of the top cornerbacks in the league this season, but he will either miss this game or at least be hobbled by a hip injury. Tampa Bay may also be missing linebacker Haason Reddick (ankle/knee) again.
Josh Allen put on a clinic against the Bucs defense last week, posting 317 passing yards. Matthew Stafford should be able to reach this 247.5 number with ease.
I’ll grab the Over here, with the computer.
Kyren Williams Under 61.5 rushing yards (-111)
Projection: 59.0 yards
Kyren Williams has just one 100+ rushing yard game this season, but he consistently hits 65+ yards on the ground.
In eight of 10 games played so far this season, Williams has gone over 65 yards. The two exceptions were a 50-yard game against Baltimore and a 54-yard day against Jacksonville.
Tampa’s run defense has been solid overall this season, but has recently started to show cracks.
In the past month, we saw Jahmyr Gibbs rush for 136 yards against the Tampa Bay D, and we saw TreVeyon Henderson dash for 147 yards against the unit.
Williams should be able to hit this number.
I’ll disagree with my computer pal here and take the Over.
Puka Nacua Over 87.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 94.2 yards
The Bucs have done a nice job limiting opposing teams’ top receivers in their past few games, instead opting to allow opponents’ second and third WR options to try and beat them.
Tampa Bay limited Stefon Diggs to 46 yards and Chris Olave to 63 yards. Amon-Ra St. Brown had 86 yards receiving against the Bucs, but that would have gone slightly Under this number attached to Nacua.
Puka Nacua has established himself as one of the top receivers in the NFL, but has been relatively quiet lately. He has averaged just 65.5 receiving yards per game in his past four outings, and hasn’t had a 100+ yard receiving day since late September.
I’ll disagree with my bot friend and take the Nacua Under.
Kyren Williams Over 12.5 receiving yards (-120)
Projection: 17.4 yards
Williams just doesn’t get enough receiving targets for me to be confident in him hitting this number.
He has not gone Over 12.5 yards receiving in his last four games.
Outside of a massive outlier game against San Francisco in early October, when he was targeted 10 times, Williams is averaging just 2.3 targets per game.
Will play the numbers here and go against the computer by taking the Under on Williams' receiving yards.
