The Denver Broncos will be looking for their ninth straight victory when they square off with the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football.
The visiting Broncos are -5.5 favorites on the spread at the best NFL betting sites. There are also SNF props now available to bet on for Denver at Washington.
Below, we will take a glance at NFL player prop projections for all of the top offensive players in this game.
Our computer predicts big statistical games from RJ Harvey, Troy Franklin, Chris Rodriguez Jr., and Deebo Samuel.
Broncos vs Commanders computer picks for Sunday Night Football
 Broncos |
 Commanders |
|---|---|
| Nix Under 230.5 passing yards (-115) | Mariota Over 191.5 passing yards (-112) |
| Harvey Over 48.5 rushing yards (-114) | Rodriguez Jr. Over 41.5 rushing yards (-114) |
| Franklin Over 42.5 receiving yards (-114) | Samuel Over 42.5 receiving yards (-118) |
| Engram Over 24.5 receiving yards (-115) | Ertz Under 37.5 receiving yards (-114) |
Bet on SNF at FanDuel!
Make your Sunday Night Football bets at FanDuel, America's No. 1 sportsbook! Sign up now and by placing $5 on your first bet, you could win $300 in bonus bets if your wager is a winner!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Broncos SNF computer picks
Bo Nix Under 230.5 passing yards (-115)
Projection: 223.4 yards
The Washington Commanders rank 28th in the NFL in Def Passing DVOA. The unit is allowing 249.5 passing yards per game.
Bo Nix is well-rested, coming off a bye, and in his last game — against the Chiefs — he threw for 295 yards. The second-year signal-caller has already shown he can light up a weak pass defense, as he shredded the Cincinnati defense earlier this season to the tune of 326 yards.
Unfortunately, the computer and I are off to a rocky start this Thanksgiving weekend, as I’m taking the Nix Over.
RJ Harvey Over 48.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 58.1 yards
This could very well be RJ Harvey’s breakout game, as he gets the opportunity to feast on a Commanders defense that is 22nd in Def Rushing DVOA.
Washington’s rush defense has been particularly brutal lately, as in its last game, it allowed 120 yards on the ground to De’Von Achane. The week prior, Washington gave up 142 rushing yards to Jahmyr Gibbs.
Harvey got 11 carries in his last outing, and that number should only climb going forward with JK Dobbins on the shelf.
I’ll agree with the computer here and take the Harvey Over.
Troy Franklin Over 42.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 55.4 yards
I just don’t think I can take an Under on any of these Denver Broncos against this Washington defense.
In recent games, we’ve seen Jameson Williams (119 yards receiving), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (129 yards), and Rashee Rice (93 yards) feast against the Washington D.
I’ll again agree with the computer and take the Over.
Evan Engram Over 24.5 receiving yards (-115)
Projection: 26.4 yards
This is the least confidence I had in a Broncos player Over, but Evan Engram should still be able to hit 25 yards.
Against a similarly bad Cowboys pass defense, in Week 8, Engram had four catches for 36 yards. I like him to get in that neighborhood of yardage in this spot.
My computer pal and I will snag the Over once again.
More Sunday Night Football picks from Covers
- Broncos vs. Commanders predictions
- ChatGBT predicts the winners of all NFL Week 12 games
- Free NFL picks and predictions
Commanders SNF computer picks
Marcus Mariota Over 191.5 passing yards (-112)
Projection: 195.2 yards
Marcus Mariota’s lucky number seems to be “213.” In each of his last three games, he’s thrown for exactly 213 yards. Weird.
Here’s saying the famed “Mariota 213 streak” stops here, against the vaunted Denver defense.
The Broncos rank third in Def Passing DVOA, and do not allow bad offenses to breathe. In recent weeks, we saw Geno Smith throw for just 143 yards against the Denver D, and Davis Mills throw for only 137 yards.
I’ll go against my bot friend and take the Under.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Over 41.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 51.5 rushing yards
I’m just not sure Chris Rodriguez Jr. will get enough touches to reach this number. Rodriguez Jr. has out-touched Jacory Croskey-Merritt just twice this season and is more of a short-yardage back.
If this were a TD prop, I’d lean towards Rodriguez Jr., but we’re talking yards here.
I’ll again disagree with the computer and take the Under.
Deebo Samuel Over 42.5 receiving yards (-118)
Projection: 49.1 yards
Deebo Samuel is averaging 47 receiving yards per game this season, and he shows up against top pass defenses.
Miami ranks 12th in passing yardage, and Deebo popped for 74 yards against them on Nov. 16. The Chargers are ranked No. 4 in pass defense, and Deebo had his best statistical game of the season against them, hauling in 96 yards of receiving.
I’ll agree with the computer here and take the Over.
Zach Ertz Under 37.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 30.5 yards
Denver does a nice job of limiting opposing teams’ top offensive weapons. In its last game, it limited Rashee Rice to 38 yards receiving. Tight end Travis Kelce, however, led Kansas City with 91 yards receiving in that one.
Houston tight end Dalton Shultz was also recently able to have a big day against the Broncos, as he led his team in receiving with 77 yards.
Zach Ertz has gone Over 37.5 yards in each of his last three games, and I like that trend to continue.
I’ll once again disagree with the computer. Give me the Ertz Over.
