The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings rivalry should produce plenty of intrigue, but I'm looking beyond the scoreboard for value.
My Packers vs. Vikings prop picks zero in on Jordan Mason's workload, Jordan Love's passing ceiling, and Jordan Addison's big-play upside in their Week 1 meeting.
Check out my NFL picks for Sunday, Sept. 13, and read our full Packers vs. Vikings prediction before kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET from U.S. Bank Stadium.
Best Packers vs Vikings props
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| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jordan Mason Over 44.5 rushing yards |
53% |
 Jordan Love Under 249 passing yards |
57% |
| Jordan Addison longest reception Over 19.5 yards |
55% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Jordan Mason Over 44.5 rushing yards
Jordan Mason ran well against the Green Bay Packers last year, averaging 6.2 yards per rush in two head-to-head matchups.
The Minnesota Vikings running back racked up at least 52 yards in seven of his nine games with double-digit carries last season. Per Next Gen Stats, Mason ranked sixth in rushing yards over expectation per attempt in 2025.
An added fear of Vikings dual-threat quarterback Kyler Murray running should open up even more lanes for Mason starting in Week 1. Playable to 50%.
Prop pick #2: Jordan Love Under 249.5 passing yards
The Under for Jordan Love's passing yards prop is good down to 244.5 yards (50%). Green Bay's receiving corps got weaker because it had to pay Christian Watson. Former Packers WR Romeo Doubs signed elsewhere this offseason, as did Dontayvion Wicks.
Meanwhile, the Vikings allowed the second-fewest passing yards in the last regular season. James Pierre will cover Watson and was the second-highest-graded corner in the NFL in 2025, according to Pro Football Focus.
Prop pick #3: Jordan Addison longest reception Over 19.5 yards
Give me the Over for Jordan Addison's longest reception, and I'd play it to 22.5 yards.
Minnesota wideout Justin Jefferson is a force multiplier who gets a majority of the opponent's attention in coverage. There's a world where the Vikings have the best WR corps in the NFL, featuring Jefferson, Addison, and Jauan Jennings.
Murray throws a good ball, and his scrambling ability opens up chunk gains through the air. Even if Murray doesn't hit him with a dot downfield, Addison can get free against broken coverage when Murray extends plays with his legs.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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