NFL Moneyline Picks for Every Conference Championship Game

From a lopsided quarterback matchup to a Rams team seeking revenge, Trevor Knapp breaks down his moneyline picks for the AFC and NFC Championships.

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst
Jan 21, 2026 • 08:00 ET • 4 min read
Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9).

And then there were four.

The Conference Championships are set, with the Mile High and Emerald City hosting two marquee games on Sunday.

A devastating quarterback injury is set to derail Denver at home, and I'm also expecting Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams to take the grudge match in Seattle.

With that in mind, here are my NFL picks for January 25.

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Conference Championship moneyline picks 

Matchup Pick
Patriots Patriots vs Broncos Broncos Patriots -250
Rams Rams vs Seahawks Seahawks Rams +128

Lines courtesy of FanDuel.

Expert Conference Championship moneyline picks

Patriots vs Broncos moneyline pick

AFC Championship ML Pick
New England Patriots logo Patriots moneyline

The Mile High faithful felt a "Mile Low" following the news of Bo Nix breaking his ankle on the second-to-last play of the Broncos' overtime win over Buffalo.

Meanwhile, the Patriots have been much better on the road this season, boasting a 7–1 straight-up record away from Gillette Stadium during the regular season.

New England's defense has allowed just one touchdown through its first two playoff matchups and will feast on backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham, who hasn’t made a start since 2023 and owns a career passer rating of 78.3.

Denver is listed at +1300 to win the Super Bowl for a reason. Take the Patriots to get back to the Super Bowl.

Rams vs Seahawks moneyline pick

NFC Championship ML Pick
Los Angeles Rams logo  Rams moneyline

As good as Seattle’s defense is, Matthew Stafford shredded them for 457 passing yards and three touchdowns in their last head-to-head meeting — and that was with WR2 Davante Adams sidelined.

The Rams' defense is definitely vulnerable in the secondary, but Chris Shula’s unit managed to get Sam Darnold to throw six interceptions across the teams’ two regular-season matchups.

L.A. spent a chunk of the season listed as the top Super Bowl favorite, and it’s no surprise the Rams are carrying the second-best odds behind a No. 1 offense and a lethal front four on D. 

Despite blowing a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter against Seattle back in December, Los Angeles will get the last laugh this time around.

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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