Chicago head coach Ben Johnson's offensive wizardry will be put to an even greater test beginning tonight with Caleb Williams sidelined, and our Eagles vs. Bears best bets ahead of Monday Night Football examine how that could play out.
We have the game covered on all fronts, including moneyline, spread, and total picks, along with player props and an anytime touchdown play. The Eagles enter as the -4.5 favorites, with kickoff slated for 8:15 p.m. ET from Soldier Field (ESPN).
Monday Night Football predictions: Eagles vs Bears
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Eagles moneyline |
68% |
| Eagles -4.5 |
51% |
 / Under 42.5 |
52% |
| Dontayvion Wicks Over 39.5 receiving yards |
54% |
| D'Andre Swift Over 2.5 receptions |
53% |
| D'Andre Swift anytime touchdown |
40% |
Probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Who will win Eagles vs Bears?
NFL analyst Trevor Knapp offers an Eagles vs. Bears play as part of his NFL moneyline picks for Week 3.
Our prediction: Eagles to win — Yes (68%)
"While Caleb Williams was able to escape what initially looked like a season-ending injury, the Chicago Bears will be without their star quarterback in Week 3. With Tyson Bagent also likely out, Case Keenum could be under center on MNF, and the 38-year-old hasn't started an NFL game since 2023. Roll with the Eagles to stay undefeated."
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Monday Night Football spread prediction
Our prediction: Eagles -4.5 — Yes (51%)
Covers expert Chris Vasile locks in on Philadelphia in his NFL picks against the spread for Week 3.
"Chicago's quarterback situation makes the Philadelphia Eagles my favorite ATS play of the week. Williams is dealing with a hamstring injury, while Bagent cleared the concussion protocol but is likely still out too, leaving the Bears with major uncertainty under center.
That's a brutal spot against an Eagles defense that doesn't need extra help creating difficult downs. Chicago managed three points against Minnesota last week, and I'm not sure the Bears double that this week."
Monday Night Football total prediction
Market lean: Under 42.5 — Yes (52%)
Josh Inglis breaks down the game total in his Eagles vs. Bears prediction.
"The Eagles were slight 1.5-point dogs on this lookahead, but Williams' hamstring injury swung the line 4.5 points the other way. Over the last five years, backup quarterbacks have gone 50.7% ATS but much worse on the total, hitting the Over at a 46.6% rate.
This total dropped from a lookahead of 44.5, but I still prefer the Under on Monday night. Bagent was a full participant at practice Saturday after dealing with a concussion, but he wasn't involved in the game-planning enough. So third-string quarterback Keenum, who hasn't taken a snap since 2023, is expected to start.
This offense scored three points at home last week in the rain with Williams playing into the fourth quarter. I'm not expecting either Bears backup to run Johnson's offense at full strength, and it will surely be scaled back Monday night."
More Eagles vs Bears picks from Covers
- Eagles vs. Bears best bets
- Eagles vs. Bears anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Eagles vs. Bears prop picks
- Eagles vs. Bears prediction
Monday Night Football player props
Receiving prop: Dontayvion Wicks Over 39.5 receiving yards — Yes (54%)
Jason Logan zeroes in on a key receiving yardage angle.
"The Eagles will see mostly man coverage from the Bears' defense (which runs man at the highest rate) on Monday Night Football. Eagles WR1 DeVonta Smith is awesome in one-on-one situations, but he won’t get too many of those opportunities, with Chicago sending double coverage at his deep-threat ability.
That means WR2 Dontayvion Wicks will see more single coverage, and he’s almost as dangerous in those opportunities. He rates 16th against man coverage, per PFF, to start the 2026 season. Wicks could draw coverage from deep down Chicago's depth chart, with the secondary missing bodies. Wicks has been excellent in his first two games for Philly, posting 73 and 74 yards while catching seven of 10 balls his way. Projections for MNF lean toward 40+ receiving yards with a ceiling of 50+."
Receiving prop: D'Andre Swift Over 2.5 receptions — Yes (53%)
Logan also outlines a high-volume target script for a key member of Chicago's backfield.
"The Bears' passing playbook will be shortened with Williams sidelined. On top of that, this Eagles pass rush won’t leave much time for deeper plays to develop.
Running back D'Andre Swift drew six targets in a wet and windy game against Minnesota last week, when downfield looks were challenging. He'll be a popular target on designed screens and as a check-down option on Monday. Most projections sit at 2+ catches for Swift, with some models flirting with three receptions."
Check out Jason Logan's full Eagles vs. Bears prop picks for his complete breakdown.
Eagles anytime touchdown prop: D'Andre Swift anytime touchdown (40%)
Inglis targets Swift too, this time to reach paydirt.
"With Keenum under center, it's a downgrade across the board for all Chicago pass-catchers, but Swift is set up for a big game and plenty of volume.
He's already been given eight of the 11 running back red-zone carries this year for the Bears, turning two into touchdowns, while adding two more red-zone targets.
Kyle Monangai was on the injury report earlier this week, so the 70/30 backfield split should remain around that rate against the Eagles. They're allowing over 100 rushing yards per game, plus another 30 receiving yards on average, to opposing running backs.
This is a good price for a red-zone running back who could see even more volume with a backup QB. I'd play this to 2.25x."
For more touchdown angles, check out our full Eagles vs. Bears anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Eagles vs Bears live markets explained
Kalshi event contracts can be bought and sold as the Eagles vs. Bears unfolds, meaning traders aren't necessarily locked into their original pregame position.
The probabilities will move throughout the game as the score, time remaining, possession, and game state change.
How do Eagles vs Bears prediction markets work?
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where users trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, users trade event contracts based on simple Yes/No questions such as "Will the Eagles beat the Bears?"
Contract prices reflect the market's estimated probability of an outcome. A contract trading at 23%, for example, indicates that the market is assigning that outcome roughly a 23% chance of occurring. If the prediction is correct, the contract settles at $1; if it is incorrect, it settles at $0.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
At a traditional sportsbook, bettors wager against prices established by the bookmaker. Kalshi instead operates as an exchange, with users trading event contracts against other market participants.
Another major difference is the ability to exit a position before an event is finished. If the probability of your Eagles vs. Bears position increases during the game, you can sell the contract rather than waiting for the final result.
Why trade Eagles vs Bears at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers several features that distinguish prediction markets from traditional pro football betting:
- Live flexibility: Contracts can be bought and sold as market probabilities change throughout the game.
- Probability-based pricing: Markets display the estimated likelihood of an outcome rather than traditional American odds.
- Transparency: Prices are driven by trading activity between market participants.
- Federal regulation: Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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