Josh Allen Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Chiefs vs Bills

Josh Allen’s mobility has become an increasingly dangerous weapon, and it could be the key factor that leads the Bills to victory in their intensifying rivalry with the Chiefs.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 1, 2025 • 16:48 ET • 4 min read
Josh Allen Buffalo Bills NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) looks to pass in the first quarter.

This Sunday we have a rerun of the AFC Championship Game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills, with all eyes on their respective quarterbacks.

Our eyes will be on Josh Allen who bids to upset the Chiefs and keep momentum going for his team. This game might not be on primetime, but this matchup certainly is, so let’s see how Josh Allen will do against his rivals.

I’ve taken a long look at Josh Allen odds at various sportsbooks to find the very best ways for you to get involved with the Bills QB on Sunday, November 2.

Josh Allen prop pick

Josh Allen best bet: Josh Allen Over 41.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Sunday has the potential to serve us up a potential game of the regular season contender, with two of the very best teams in the NFL facing off against one another.

I’m still staggered that this repeat of the AFC Championship Game is on primetime, but regardless of kickoff time, this is a game featuring two of the best QBs in the business, but here we’re going to focus on Josh Allen’s legs not his powerful arm.

It’s not like Allen’s rushing ability is anything new to us, it’s been a fixture of his since arriving in the league and has only become more dangerous as he honed his arm earlier in his career.

Again, it’s a cliché but he’s deceptively fast and with his size that becomes a dangerous combination. The Chiefs’ defense has been good against the run this season but they’re going to have to deal with James Cook, who is in excellent form himself, which could open up spaces for Allen to exploit.

In his seven games this season he’s have 42 or more rushing yards on four occasions, so a little over 50%. However, this is a big game and one which is poised to be close. That should be Allen doing a little extra and doing everything possible to put this team on his back and ensure the Buffalo Bills get another win.

He’s developing a real rivalry with the Kansas City Chiefs now, with these two teams being amongst the best in the AFC over recent seasons. Last season they met each other twice, both excellent games, and with the stakes high he averaged 47 rushing yards across them

Josh Allen same-game parlay

We’re doubling down on the Bills’ signal caller and backing him to find the endzone. He’s already got five rushing touchdowns to his name this season and it’s also worth remembering that he scored a rushing touchdown when these two teams met in the regular season last year.

For the final leg of this SGP we’re taking James Cook to score. He’s really developed as a running back over the past 12 months and is now amongst the best in the entire NFL.

He’s averaging one touchdown pergame this season and comes into this full of confidence following a onster performance against the Panthers that saw him rush for 216 yards and two score

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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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