Falcons vs Buccaneers Predictions, Best Bets, Props & Odds for Thursday Night Football

Our NFL experts present their best bets for an all-NFC South TNF battle between the Falcons and the Bucs.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Dec 11, 2025 • 18:45 ET • 4 min read
NFL Bijan Robinson Atlanta Falcons
Photo By - Imagn Images. Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson.

Week 15 begins with a Thursday Night Football affair between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Our NFL experts are ready with their Falcons vs. Buccaneers predictions and best bets for December 11!

Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF predictions

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Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF best bets

Falcons Falcons +5

-110 at bet365

The trends suggest that the Atlanta Falcons are the smart side in their TNF showdown with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as Joe Osborne explains.

"While it's been another lost season in Atlanta, we've seen the Falcons put up a fight in multiple situations after a tough loss this season. They've kept things tight in recent matchups against Tampa Bay by winning or staying within three points in five of the last six games between the teams." 

Under 44

-110 at bet365

Osborne is all over the Under for tonight.

"This Falcons offense is prone to complete no-shows, as they have five games this season with 10 points or fewer. Tampa Bay's offense is also struggling to put things together right now and has regressed significantly in recent weeks. I'll happily side with the Under."

Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF TD picks

Buccaneers Emeka Egbuka anytime TD

+140 at bet365

Kyle LaRusic explains why the Falcons' defense is just what the doctor ordered for Emeka Egbuka and the Bucs' struggling offense.

"Egbuka started the season on a torrid pace, but he hasn't found paydirt in four-straight outings. That coincides with the Bucs' recent offensive slump, scoring 20 or less in three straight. One of the glaring issues in that three-game skid is their 36.9% third-down conversion rate... That said, Atlanta gives up a third-down conversion rate of nearly 40%, putting it in the bottom half of the league. I think we'll see the Bucs' offense have more time on the field in Week 15, and with their playoff position hanging on by a thread, Baker [Mayfield] will look to his favorite target."

Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF props

Falcons Bijan Robinson Over 35.5 receiving yards

-115 at bet365

The Buccaneers simply can't stop opposing running backs from working their will in the receiving game, and Rohit Ponnaiya recognizes the value being offered on this Bijan Robinson prop.

"Although Robinson might have a tough time finding running room against the Buccaneers’ staunch front, Atlanta still needs to get the ball into the hands of their best player, and the passing game might be the way to do that... The Bucs are 31st in DVOA against running backs while allowing a league-high 53.9 receiving yards per game to the position."

Falcons vs Buccaneers odds

Falcons vs Buccaneers game info

Location Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Date Thursday, December 11, 2025
Kickoff 8:15 p.m. ET
TV Amazon Prime

Falcons vs Buccaneers latest injuries

Falcons vs Buccaneers weather

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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