Week 15 begins with a Thursday Night Football affair between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Our NFL experts are ready with their Falcons vs. Buccaneers predictions and best bets for December 11!
Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF predictions
- Falcons +5 (-110 at bet365)
- Under 44 (-110 at bet365)
- Egbuka anytime TD (+140 at bet365)
- Robinson o35.5 rec yds (-115 at bet365)

Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF best bets
Falcons +5
The trends suggest that the Atlanta Falcons are the smart side in their TNF showdown with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as Joe Osborne explains.
"While it's been another lost season in Atlanta, we've seen the Falcons put up a fight in multiple situations after a tough loss this season. They've kept things tight in recent matchups against Tampa Bay by winning or staying within three points in five of the last six games between the teams."
Under 44
Osborne is all over the Under for tonight.
"This Falcons offense is prone to complete no-shows, as they have five games this season with 10 points or fewer. Tampa Bay's offense is also struggling to put things together right now and has regressed significantly in recent weeks. I'll happily side with the Under."
Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF TD picks
Emeka Egbuka anytime TD
Kyle LaRusic explains why the Falcons' defense is just what the doctor ordered for Emeka Egbuka and the Bucs' struggling offense.
"Egbuka started the season on a torrid pace, but he hasn't found paydirt in four-straight outings. That coincides with the Bucs' recent offensive slump, scoring 20 or less in three straight. One of the glaring issues in that three-game skid is their 36.9% third-down conversion rate... That said, Atlanta gives up a third-down conversion rate of nearly 40%, putting it in the bottom half of the league. I think we'll see the Bucs' offense have more time on the field in Week 15, and with their playoff position hanging on by a thread, Baker [Mayfield] will look to his favorite target."
Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF props
Bijan Robinson Over 35.5 receiving yards
The Buccaneers simply can't stop opposing running backs from working their will in the receiving game, and Rohit Ponnaiya recognizes the value being offered on this Bijan Robinson prop.
"Although Robinson might have a tough time finding running room against the Buccaneers’ staunch front, Atlanta still needs to get the ball into the hands of their best player, and the passing game might be the way to do that... The Bucs are 31st in DVOA against running backs while allowing a league-high 53.9 receiving yards per game to the position."
Falcons vs Buccaneers odds
Falcons vs Buccaneers game info
| Location | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
| Date | Thursday, December 11, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime |
Falcons vs Buccaneers latest injuries
Falcons vs Buccaneers weather
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