Eagles vs Cowboys Predictions - Early Picks & Odds for Week 12

If you like the Eagles, take them to cover now before the line moves to +4.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Nov 18, 2025 • 09:44 ET • 4 min read
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) rolled out against the Green Bay Packers in the first half at Lambeau Field.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) rolled out against the Green Bay Packers in the first half at Lambeau Field.

The Philadelphia Eagles bring a four-game winning streak to Arlington when they visit the rival Dallas Cowboys on November 23.

Philadelphia has climbed to the top of the NFC, but those victories haven’t been pretty, with the team grinding out low-scoring games against Green Bay and Detroit the past two weeks. 

My early Eagles vs. Cowboys predictions and NFL picks think you should grab Philly at -3.5 before the number hits 4.0.

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Eagles vs Cowboys predictions

Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.

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Early Eagles vs Cowboys spread pick: Eagles -3.5

-115 at FanDuel

The look-ahead line for this divisional matchup was Dallas +4.5 before the Dallas Cowboys thumped the Raiders on Monday Night Football. 

The official Week 12 spread opened Dallas +3.5, but I believe this line will trend back toward the look-ahead number. I’m much more interested in betting Dallas on the other side of +4.

The Cowboys faced an interior foe off a bye on MNF, but also played an emotionally charged game after the tragic passing of DE Marshawn Kneeland during that bye week. That does line up a letdown spot, especially on a short week.

If you like the Philadelphia Eagles as road favorites, I would grab them now. Juice on the Philadelphia -3.5 is ticking up, and a move to -4 is coming.

Four is an underrated key number in NFL betting, and we routinely see 4-point favorites win outright but fall short against the spread

Early Eagles vs Cowboys total pick: Under 49.5

-110 at FanDuel

Before Week 11 results, the look-ahead total for this game reached 51.5 at some books. The official opening number hit the board at 49.5 following Dallas’ win at Vegas.

The Cowboys’ defense has been among the worst stop units in the league for most of the season, but we’re starting to see things settle in under new defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus. 

Dallas is mixing in more man coverage after going almost exclusively zone in the first two months, and we’ve seen this pass defense go from bottom of the league to middle of the pack since Week 7.

The additions of DL Quinnen Williams and LB Logan Wilson at the trade deadline bolster the run stop, which will get a workout on Sunday.

As for this Cowboys offense, it has a short week to prepare for Vic Fangio’s schemes. Philadelphia’s defense has been the backbone of this current winning streak, shutting down the Lions and Packers to a combined 16 points.

The Eagles have quickly climbed the defensive metrics since Week 7, sitting tops in EPA allowed per play in those four outings. Even with this game on the fast track of AT&T Stadium, Philly’s defense will deliver.

Eagles vs Cowboys odds

  • Eagles vs. Cowboys spread: Cowboys +3.5
  • Eagles vs. Cowboys moneyline: Eagles -176, Cowboys +148
  • Eagles vs. Cowboys Over/Under: 49.5

How to watch Eagles vs Cowboys

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jasons first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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